N. Macedonia

3 - 1

Armenia

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a North Macedonia win with a probability of 62.69%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Armenia had a probability of 15.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a North Macedonia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.75%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.25%), while for an Armenia win it was 0-1 (5.38%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that North Macedonia would win this match.