We said: North Macedonia 2-1 Armenia
North Macedonia have their work cut out to qualify for next summer's Euros after being placed in a difficult group, but the Lynxes should be good enough to win on Tuesday afternoon.
Armenia were well below average as they lost at bottom side Latvia last time out, and we can envisage the visitors struggling at Stadion Blagoj Istatov in this one.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a North Macedonia win with a probability of 62.69%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Armenia had a probability of 15.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a North Macedonia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.75%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.25%), while for an Armenia win it was 0-1 (5.38%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that North Macedonia would win this match.
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