International Friendly

Jun 5, 2022 at 7pm UK

Estadio El Sadar

Argentina
5 - 0
Estonia

Messi (9' pen., 45', 47', 71', 76')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Argentina's Lionel Messi scores five to overtake Ferenc Puskas goal tally

Argentina's Lionel Messi moves into fourth place in the all-time international men's top-scorer list, overtaking Ferenc Puskas after scoring five goals against Estonia.

Jun 6, 16:14

Form, Standings, Stats

Argentina

Last Six:

Last Game: Argentina 5-0 Estonia
Sunday, June 5 at 7pm in International Friendlies

Next Game: Brazil vs. Argentina
Thursday, September 22 at 8pm in World Cup Qualifying - South America

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Argentina	4	5	10
2	Uruguay	4	2	7
3	Paraguay	4	2	6
4	Chile	4	-1	5
5	Bolivia	4	-8	0

Estonia

Last Six:

Last Game: Malta 1-2 Estonia
Thursday, June 9 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Next Game: Albania vs. Estonia
Monday, June 13 at 5pm in International Friendlies

Current League D2 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Estonia	0	0	0
2	Malta	0	0	0
3	San Marino	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentina win with a probability of 69.14%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Estonia had a probability of 9.06%.

The most likely scoreline for an Argentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 19.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (16.86%) and 3-0 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (11.08%), while for a Estonia win it was 0-1 (5.05%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Argentina would win this match.

Result
Argentina	Draw	Estonia
69.14% ( -0.02)	21.8% ( -0)	9.06% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 30.18% (

0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

37.72% (

0.06)

62.28% (

-0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.06% (

0.04)

81.94% (

-0.05)

Argentina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.52% (

0.01)

17.48% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.04% (

0.03)

47.96% (

-0.03)

Estonia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

36.57% (

0.09)

63.43% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

7.69% (

0.04)

92.3% (

-0.04)

Score Analysis

Argentina 69.14%

Estonia 9.06%

Draw 21.79%

Argentina	Draw	Estonia
1-0 @ 19.33% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 16.86% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 9.81% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.68% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.46% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 4.28% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.95% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.49% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.02% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.27% Total : 69.14%	0-0 @ 11.08% ( -0.03) 1-1 @ 8.8% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 1.75% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.16% Total : 21.79%	0-1 @ 5.05% ( 0) 1-2 @ 2% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 1.15% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.86% Total : 9.06%