MX23RW : Thursday, October 10 19:41:26| >> :60:97:97:
Switzerland national football team
Nations League | League A
Sep 8, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stade de Geneve
Spain national football team

Switzerland
1 - 4
Spain

Amdouni (41')
Vargas (18'), Freuler (52'), Wuthrich (53')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Joselu (4'), Ruiz (13', 77'), Torres (80')
Carvajal (69'), Torres (69')
Le Normand (20')

The Match

Match Report

Fabian Ruiz scores twice as 10-man Spain record a 4-1 victory over Switzerland in their second match of the 2024-25 UEFA Nations League.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Nations League clash between Switzerland and Spain, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Spain could line up in their UEFA Nations League contest with Switzerland.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: Denmark 2-0 Switzerland
Thursday, September 5 at 7.45pm in Nations League
All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: Serbia 0-0 Spain
Thursday, September 5 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Current Group B Standings P GD PTS
1Spain359
2Italy304
3Croatia3-32
4Albania3-21

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spain win with a probability of 47.32%. A win for Switzerland had a probability of 27.84% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spain win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.38%) and 0-2 (8.06%). The likeliest Switzerland win was 1-0 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Spain would win this match.

Result
SwitzerlandDrawSpain
27.84% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01) 24.84% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01) 47.32% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Both teams to score 54.78% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.02% (0.041000000000004 0.04)47.98% (-0.041000000000004 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.85% (0.037000000000003 0.04)70.15% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)
Switzerland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.76% (0.016999999999996 0.02)31.24% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.41% (0.021000000000001 0.02)67.59% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Spain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.67% (0.022000000000006 0.02)20.32% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.29% (0.036999999999999 0.04)52.71% (-0.038999999999994 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Switzerland 27.84%
    Spain 47.32%
    Draw 24.84%
SwitzerlandDrawSpain
1-0 @ 7.39% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-1 @ 6.85%
2-0 @ 4.3% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 2.66% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 2.12% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-0 @ 1.67% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 27.84%
1-1 @ 11.77%
0-0 @ 6.35% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.46% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-3 @ 1.12% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.84%
0-1 @ 10.11% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 9.38% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-2 @ 8.06% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 4.98% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 4.28% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 2.9% (0.004 0)
1-4 @ 1.98% (0.0029999999999999 0)
0-4 @ 1.71% (0.002 0)
2-4 @ 1.15% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 47.32%

How you voted: Switzerland vs Spain

Switzerland
16.6%
Draw
13.7%
Spain
69.8%
205
Head to Head
Sep 24, 2022 7.45pm
League A
Spain
1-2
Switzerland
Alba (55')
Akanji (21'), Embolo (58')
Jun 9, 2022 7.45pm
League A
Switzerland
0-1
Spain

Shaqiri (59'), Akanji (67'), Seferovic (90'), Sow (90+2')
Sarabia (13')
Jul 2, 2021 5pm
Quarter-Finals
Switzerland
1-1
Spain
(Aggregate 1-1 | Spain win 3-1 on penalties)
Shaqiri (68')
Widmer (67'), Gavranovic (120+1')
Freuler (77')
Zakaria (8' og.)
Laporte (90+3')
Nov 14, 2020 7.45pm
League A
Switzerland
1-1
Spain
Freuler (26')
Elvedi (15'), Embolo (58'), Freuler (72')
Elvedi (79')
Moreno (89')
Oct 10, 2020 7.45pm
League A
Spain
1-0
Switzerland
Oyarzabal (14')
Merino (64')

Schar (30'), Freuler (75')
rhs 2.0
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