MX23RW : Thursday, January 30 18:45:47| >> :60:638:638:
Denmark national football team
Friendlies 1
Jun 8, 2024 at 6.30pm UK
Parken
Norway national football team

Denmark
3 - 1
Norway

Hojbjerg (12'), Vestergaard (21'), Poulsen (90')
Hojbjerg (50')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Haaland (72')
Skiri Oestigaard (19')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's friendly clash between Denmark and Norway, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Denmark

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Denmark 2-1 Sweden
Wednesday, June 5 at 6pm in International Friendlies

Norway

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Norway 3-0 Kosovo
Wednesday, June 5 at 6pm in International Friendlies
Current Group A Standings P GD PTS
1Spain82021
2Scotland8917
3Norway8211
4Georgia8-68
5Cyprus8-250

We said: Denmark 2-1 Norway

 Denmark have traditionally had Norway's number since the turn of the millennium, but as was the case against Sweden, their previous penchant for home clean sheets should count for little against their Haaland-inspired visitors. It it difficult to envisage Solbakken's men penetrating the Danish brick wall more than once, though, so another narrow success should come the hosts' way in their final tune-up battle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Denmark win with a probability of 59.77%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Norway had a probability of 17.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Denmark win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.93%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.63%), while for a Norway win it was 0-1 (5.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Denmark would win this match.

Result
DenmarkDrawNorway
59.77% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08) 22.36% (0.029 0.03) 17.87% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Both teams to score 50.06% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.94% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)48.07% (0.047999999999995 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.77% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)70.23% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Denmark Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.31% (-0.044000000000011 -0.04)15.69% (0.041 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.26% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)44.74% (0.076999999999998 0.08)
Norway Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.38% (0.022999999999996 0.02)40.62% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.78% (0.021000000000001 0.02)77.22% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Denmark 59.77%
    Norway 17.87%
    Draw 22.35%
DenmarkDrawNorway
1-0 @ 11.8% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 10.93% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.85% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 6.75% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.08% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-0 @ 3.13% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.82% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.74% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.27% (-0.002 -0)
5-0 @ 1.16% (-0.006 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.04% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 59.77%
1-1 @ 10.63% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.37% (0.013 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.44% (0.0019999999999998 0)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 22.35%
0-1 @ 5.74% (0.016 0.02)
1-2 @ 4.79% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.59% (0.008 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.44% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 1.33% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 17.87%

How you voted: Denmark vs Norway

Denmark
68.3%
Draw
13.4%
Norway
18.3%
142
Head to Head
May 31, 2020 11pm
International Friendlies
Denmark
P-P
Norway
rhs 2.0
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