Nations League | League C
Jun 14, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Turkey2 - 0Lithuania
Ayhan (37'), Calhanoglu (54' pen.)
FT(HT: 1-0)
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Luxembourg 0-2 Turkey
Saturday, June 11 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Saturday, June 11 at 7.45pm in Nations League
| Current League C1 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Turkey | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Faroe Islands | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Luxembourg | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Lithuania | 0 | 0 | 0 |
We said: Turkey 3-0 Lithuania
While Lithuania will be looking to arrest their slump, next up is the stern test of taking on a rampant Turkey side who have hit their stride at the tournament. Looking at the gulf in quality and experience between the sides, and their contrasting form, we are backing the hosts to come away with all three points unscathed. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Turkey win with a probability of 57.74%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Lithuania had a probability of 18.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Turkey win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.17%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.19%), while for a Lithuania win it was 0-1 (6.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Turkey would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Turkey | Draw | Lithuania |
57.74% ( 0.01) | 23.64% ( 0.01) | 18.62% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 47.53% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
