MX23RW : Monday, September 30 21:21:53| >> :600:270447:270447:
UEFA Nations League header

UEFA Nations League
Turkey national football team
Nations League | League C
Sep 22, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
 
Luxembourg national football team

Turkey
3 - 3
Luxembourg

Under (16' pen.), Chanot (39' og.), Yuksek (87')
Under (63')
FT(HT: 2-2)
da Graca (8'), Sinani (37'), Rodrigues (69')
da Graca (45+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Nations League clash between Turkey and Luxembourg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Turkey

Last Six:
Comp:
Last Game: Turkey 2-0 Lithuania
Tuesday, June 14 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Luxembourg

Last Six:
Comp:
Last Game: Luxembourg 2-2 Faroe Islands
Tuesday, June 14 at 7.45pm in Nations League

We said: Turkey 2-0 Luxembourg

 Even with a couple of injury absences in midfield, Turkey should have too much quality for their opponents. Luxembourg have hugely improved in recent years but they are still lacking quality in certain areas, and the hosts will be motivated to maintain their 100% record and secure promotion to League B. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Turkey win with a probability of 45.07%. A win for Luxembourg had a probability of 31.58% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Turkey win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.44%) and 2-0 (6.44%). The likeliest Luxembourg win was 1-2 (7.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.53%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.

Result
TurkeyDrawLuxembourg
45.07% (0.176 0.18) 23.34% (-0.053000000000001 -0.05) 31.58% (-0.12 -0.12)
Both teams to score 62.32% (0.125 0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.89% (0.192 0.19)39.1% (-0.189 -0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.57% (0.20200000000001 0.2)61.43% (-0.198 -0.2)
Turkey Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.28% (0.145 0.14)17.71% (-0.143 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.63% (0.25 0.25)48.37% (-0.248 -0.25)
Luxembourg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.73% (0.021000000000001 0.02)24.26% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.37% (0.030999999999999 0.03)58.62% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Turkey 45.07%
    Luxembourg 31.58%
    Draw 23.34%
TurkeyDrawLuxembourg
2-1 @ 9.12% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
1-0 @ 7.44% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
2-0 @ 6.44% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-1 @ 5.26% (0.031 0.03)
3-2 @ 3.73% (0.023 0.02)
3-0 @ 3.71% (0.019 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.28% (0.023 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.61% (0.018 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.61% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 3.89%
Total : 45.07%
1-1 @ 10.53% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-2 @ 6.46% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.3% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.76% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 23.34%
1-2 @ 7.46% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-1 @ 6.09% (-0.050999999999999 -0.05)
0-2 @ 4.31% (-0.033 -0.03)
1-3 @ 3.52% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.05% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.04% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.25% (-0.002 -0)
2-4 @ 1.08% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 31.58%

How you voted: Turkey vs Luxembourg

Turkey
91.5%
Draw
6.0%
Luxembourg
2.6%
117
Head to Head
Jun 11, 2022 7.45pm
League C1
Luxembourg
0-2
Turkey

Barreiro (35')
Calhanoglu (37' pen.), Dursun (76')
rhs 2.0
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