Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cliftonville win with a probability of 48.28%. A win for Dungannon Swifts had a probability of 28.13% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cliftonville win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.58%) and 2-0 (7.44%). The likeliest Dungannon Swifts win was 1-2 (6.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cliftonville would win this match.