MX23RW : Wednesday, October 2 12:41:58| >> :300:86500:86500:
NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 16
Nov 19, 2022 at 3pm UK
Seaview

Crusaders
4 - 0
Newry City AFC

Heatley (7'), Lowry (41', 76'), Joe Burns (61')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Crusaders and Newry City AFC.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Crusaders 0-1 Ballymena
Monday, November 14 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Newry City AFC 4-1 Carrick
Saturday, November 12 at 5.30pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 67.45%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Newry City AFC had a probability of 14.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.78%) and 1-0 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.65%), while for a Newry City AFC win it was 1-2 (4.01%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crusaders would win this match.

Result
CrusadersDrawNewry City AFC
67.45% (-0.099000000000004 -0.1) 18.52% (0.032 0.03) 14.03% (0.069000000000001 0.07)
Both teams to score 54.12% (0.088000000000001 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.74% (0.018000000000001 0.02)38.26% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.46% (0.019000000000005 0.02)60.54% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Crusaders Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.56% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)10.44% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.98% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)34.02% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Newry City AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.42% (0.11 0.11)39.57% (-0.109 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.74% (0.102 0.1)76.26% (-0.102 -0.1)
Score Analysis
    Crusaders 67.45%
    Newry City AFC 14.03%
    Draw 18.52%
CrusadersDrawNewry City AFC
2-0 @ 10.54% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-1 @ 9.78% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-0 @ 9.33% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
3-0 @ 7.94% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-1 @ 7.37% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 4.49% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-1 @ 4.16% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.41% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
5-0 @ 2.03% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.93% (0.004 0)
5-1 @ 1.88% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 4.59%
Total : 67.45%
1-1 @ 8.65% (0.011999999999999 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.53% (0.015 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.13% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 1.06% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 18.52%
1-2 @ 4.01% (0.017 0.02)
0-1 @ 3.83% (0.008 0.01)
0-2 @ 1.77% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.4% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.24% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 14.03%

Head to Head
Aug 27, 2022 3pm
Newry City AFC
1-2
Crusaders
Hughes (21')
(27')
Lowry (64'), Larmour (67')
(40'), (53'), (58')
Jan 11, 2019 7.45pm
Nov 2, 2018 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1LinfieldLinfield96211951420
2Ballymena UnitedBallymena106041512318
3Dungannon SwiftsDungannon10523138517
4LarneLarne742193614
5CliftonvilleCliftonville94231310314
6GlentoranGlentoran1042488014
7CrusadersCrusaders841397213
8ColeraineColeraine93421312113
9PortadownPortadown93331311212
10GlenavonGlenavon10244813-510
11Loughgall10127926-175
12Carrick RangersCarrick9108721-143


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!