Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 45.04%. A win for Cliftonville had a probability of 29.14% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.09%) and 2-0 (7.99%). The likeliest Cliftonville win was 0-1 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.
