Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 41.43%. A win for Larne had a probability of 32.99% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.81%) and 2-0 (6.94%). The likeliest Larne win was 0-1 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.
