Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 41.58%. A win for Cliftonville had a probability of 32.25% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.75%) and 2-0 (7.26%). The likeliest Cliftonville win was 0-1 (8.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.