Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Linfield win with a probability of 46.21%. A win for Crusaders had a probability of 29.42% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Linfield win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.12%) and 2-0 (7.43%). The likeliest Crusaders win was 1-2 (7.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Linfield would win this match.
