MX23RW : Tuesday, November 26 18:05:42| >> :300:86500:86500:
NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 15
Nov 12, 2022 at 5.30pm UK
 

Newry City AFC
4 - 1
Carrick

Rocks (28'), Donnelly (64'), Teelan (67', 83')
(45+1'), Donnelly (64'), Rocks (74')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Mitchell (41')
(82')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Newry City AFC and Carrick Rangers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Newry City AFC 3-2 Ballymena
Tuesday, November 8 at 8pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Carrick 2-0 Portadown
Tuesday, November 8 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newry City AFC win with a probability of 44.92%. A win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 30.13% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newry City AFC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.19%) and 2-0 (7.46%). The likeliest Carrick Rangers win was 0-1 (7.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newry City AFC would win this match.

Result
Newry City AFCDrawCarrick Rangers
44.92% (0.378 0.38) 24.95% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05) 30.13% (-0.327 -0.33)
Both teams to score 55.92% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.83% (0.067999999999998 0.07)47.17% (-0.065000000000005 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.6% (0.062999999999999 0.06)69.41% (-0.060999999999993 -0.06)
Newry City AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.96% (0.19799999999999 0.2)21.04% (-0.195 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.16% (0.305 0.31)53.84% (-0.304 -0.3)
Carrick Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.83% (-0.18599999999999 -0.19)29.18% (0.191 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.88% (-0.233 -0.23)65.12% (0.235 0.23)
Score Analysis
    Newry City AFC 44.92%
    Carrick Rangers 30.13%
    Draw 24.94%
Newry City AFCDrawCarrick Rangers
1-0 @ 9.57% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.19% (0.035 0.04)
2-0 @ 7.46% (0.068 0.07)
3-1 @ 4.77% (0.047 0.05)
3-0 @ 3.88% (0.058 0.06)
3-2 @ 2.94% (0.014 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.86% (0.029 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.51% (0.032 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.15% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 44.92%
1-1 @ 11.78% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
0-0 @ 6.14% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.66% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.21% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.94%
0-1 @ 7.56% (-0.061 -0.06)
1-2 @ 7.26% (-0.053 -0.05)
0-2 @ 4.66% (-0.061999999999999 -0.06)
1-3 @ 2.98% (-0.038 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.32% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.91% (-0.036 -0.04)
1-4 @ 0.92% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 30.13%

Head to Head
Aug 13, 2022 3pm
Carrick
2-1
Newry City AFC
Allen (37'), Gordon (76')
Lockhart (16')
(88')
Rocks (87')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Ravens
30-23
Chargers
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1LinfieldLinfield17112433151835
2CliftonvilleCliftonville1793526161030
3Dungannon SwiftsDungannon189272421329
4PortadownPortadown178452417728
5GlentoranGlentoran188371916327
6Ballymena UnitedBallymena179082120127
7CrusadersCrusaders168262018226
8ColeraineColeraine187472924525
9LarneLarne136341511421
10Carrick RangersCarrick1743101829-1115
11GlenavonGlenavon183691125-1415
12Loughgall1832131846-2811


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!