NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 11
Oct 15, 2022 at 3pm UK
Belfast Loughshore Hotel Arena
Carrick3 - 0Dungannon
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Carrick Rangers and Dungannon Swifts.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Glentoran 5-0 Carrick
Friday, October 7 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Friday, October 7 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Goals
for
for
15
Last Game: Glenavon 5-0 Dungannon
Saturday, October 8 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Saturday, October 8 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carrick Rangers win with a probability of 43.42%. A win for Dungannon Swifts had a probability of 32.15% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carrick Rangers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.51%) and 2-0 (6.77%). The likeliest Dungannon Swifts win was 1-2 (7.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Carrick Rangers would win this match.
Result | ||
Carrick Rangers | Draw | Dungannon Swifts |
43.42% ( -6.59) | 24.42% ( 0.61) | 32.15% ( 5.98) |
Both teams to score 58.71% ( 1.93) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.04% ( 0.75) | 43.95% ( -0.75) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.66% ( 0.73) | 66.34% ( -0.73) |
Carrick Rangers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.63% ( -2.42) | 20.37% ( 2.42) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.22% ( -4) | 52.78% ( 4) |
Dungannon Swifts Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.73% ( 4.53) | 26.27% ( -4.53) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.62% ( 5.68) | 61.38% ( -5.68) |
Score Analysis |
Carrick Rangers 43.42%
Dungannon Swifts 32.15%
Draw 24.42%
Carrick Rangers | Draw | Dungannon Swifts |
2-1 @ 9.05% ( -0.55) 1-0 @ 8.51% ( -0.98) 2-0 @ 6.77% ( -1.38) 3-1 @ 4.8% ( -0.7) 3-0 @ 3.59% ( -1.08) 3-2 @ 3.21% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.91% ( -0.45) 4-0 @ 1.43% ( -0.58) 4-2 @ 1.28% ( -0.11) Other @ 2.87% Total : 43.42% | 1-1 @ 11.38% ( 0.2) 2-2 @ 6.05% ( 0.4) 0-0 @ 5.35% ( -0.18) 3-3 @ 1.43% ( 0.16) Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.42% | 1-2 @ 7.61% ( 1.02) 0-1 @ 7.15% ( 0.64) 0-2 @ 4.78% ( 0.95) 1-3 @ 3.39% ( 0.8) 2-3 @ 2.7% ( 0.48) 0-3 @ 2.13% ( 0.63) 1-4 @ 1.13% ( 0.37) 2-4 @ 0.9% ( 0.25) Other @ 2.36% Total : 32.15% |
Head to Head
Apr 9, 2022 3pm
Carrick
1-0
Dungannon
Cushley (13')
McGuckin (45+5'), McMullan (74')
McGuckin (45+5'), McMullan (74')
Jan 29, 2022 3pm
Dungannon
3-2
Carrick
Campbell (36', 71'), McBrien (82')
Breen (45+1'), McGee (62')
Breen (45+1'), McGee (62')
Cherry (38'), Gibson (76')
Carson (26'), Cherry (54'), Ervin (73')
Carson (26'), Cherry (54'), Ervin (73')
Dec 4, 2021 3pm
Carrick
1-2
Dungannon
Cushley (85' pen.)
Cushley (9'), Anderson (19'), Surgenor (89'), Ervin (90')
Cushley (9'), Anderson (19'), Surgenor (89'), Ervin (90')
McGinty (21'), McBrien (49')
Glynn (81'), Coyle (90')
Glynn (81'), Coyle (90')
Oct 22, 2021 7.45pm
Dungannon
2-0
Carrick
Mayse (14', 89')
(24'), McGinty (24'), Campbell (39')
(24'), McGinty (24'), Campbell (39')
Ervin (26'), Gawne (64'), Forsythe (90+3')
Apr 30, 2021 7.30pm
Dungannon
0-2
Carrick
Gawne (23'), Anderson (45')
D (57')
D (57')
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2025-01-27 14:13:10
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | LinfieldLinfield | 25 | 18 | 3 | 4 | 48 | 18 | 30 | 57 |
2 | GlentoranGlentoran | 24 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 30 | 21 | 9 | 41 |
3 | Dungannon SwiftsDungannon | 26 | 12 | 4 | 10 | 37 | 31 | 6 | 40 |
4 | PortadownPortadown | 25 | 11 | 4 | 10 | 32 | 29 | 3 | 37 |
5 | CrusadersCrusaders | 26 | 11 | 4 | 11 | 33 | 37 | -4 | 37 |
6 | LarneLarne | 19 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 24 | 14 | 10 | 35 |
7 | CliftonvilleCliftonville | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 31 | 27 | 4 | 34 |
8 | Ballymena UnitedBallymena | 24 | 10 | 2 | 12 | 28 | 31 | -3 | 32 |
9 | ColeraineColeraine | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 38 | 36 | 2 | 31 |
10 | GlenavonGlenavon | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 26 | 33 | -7 | 31 |
11 | Carrick RangersCarrick | 24 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 21 | 35 | -14 | 22 |
12 | Loughgall | 26 | 3 | 4 | 19 | 25 | 61 | -36 | 13 |
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