Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glenavon win with a probability of 48.4%. A win for Newry City AFC had a probability of 27.27% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Glenavon win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.49%) and 0-2 (8.03%). The likeliest Newry City AFC win was 1-0 (6.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Glenavon in this match.

Result
Newry City AFC	Draw	Glenavon
27.27% ( -0.73)	24.32% ( -0.12)	48.4% ( 0.86)

Both teams to score 56.05% (

-0.17)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.88% (

0.03)

46.12% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.58% (

0.03)

68.42% (

-0.03)

Newry City AFC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.31% (

-0.53)

30.69% (

0.53)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.05% (

-0.63)

66.95% (

0.63)

Glenavon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.87% (

0.37)

19.13% (

-0.36)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.22% (

0.6)

50.77% (

-0.59)

Score Analysis

Newry City AFC 27.27%

Glenavon 48.4%

Draw 24.32%

Newry City AFC	Draw	Glenavon
1-0 @ 6.94% ( -0.11) 2-1 @ 6.77% ( -0.13) 2-0 @ 4.1% ( -0.13) 3-1 @ 2.67% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 2.21% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 1.61% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.98% Total : 27.27%	1-1 @ 11.47% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 5.87% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.6% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.32%	0-1 @ 9.71% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 9.49% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 8.03% ( 0.17) 1-3 @ 5.23% ( 0.09) 0-3 @ 4.43% ( 0.14) 2-3 @ 3.09% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 2.16% ( 0.06) 0-4 @ 1.83% ( 0.08) 2-4 @ 1.28% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.16% Total : 48.4%