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Swansea logo
Championship | Gameweek 22
Dec 11, 2021 at 3pm UK
Liberty Stadium
Nottingham Forest logo

Swansea
1 - 4
Nott'm Forest

Piroe (62')
Downes (11'), Smith (31'), Cabango (55')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Zinckernagel (48'), Grabban (50'), Johnson (68'), Cafu (90+3')
Osei-Tutu (20'), Spence (55'), McKenna (66'), Cafu (90+4')

Preview: Swansea City vs. Nottingham Forest - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Swansea City and Nottingham Forest, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Steve Cooper makes his return to South Wales with his Nottingham Forest side having moved one point ahead of former club Swansea City in the Championship table.

With both teams safely in mid-table, this is an opportunity to close the growing gap to the playoffs, currently standing at seven and six points respectively.


Match preview

Swansea City's Joel Piroe celebrates scoring their second goal with teammates on October 17, 2021© Reuters

While Swansea supporters may be focusing on the return of their former boss, his replacement Russell Martin will only be interested in trying to end the club's poor run of form.

Just four points have been collected from a possible 15, their sole victory during that period coming against a struggling Barnsley side.

Back-to-back defeats to Reading and Middlesbrough have left Swansea down in 14th position, albeit still 11 points above the relegation zone.

That should never be an issue for the Welsh club, but Martin is aware that his honeymoon period at the Swans is now over as he contemplates how to move last season's playoff finalists back up the table.

Their fortunes are unlikely to change unless Jamie Paterson and Joel Piroe receive more help in the final third, the pair scoring all but seven of Swansea's league goals this campaign.

Nottingham Forest manager Steve Cooper celebrates after the match on September 29, 2021© Reuters

As for Cooper, he will take his spot in the away dugout having suffered just one defeat - against Fulham - in 13 matches in charge of Forest.

While six draws have also been recorded during that time, Forest are third in the form table since Cooper arrived at the City Ground.

Just 11 goals have been conceded in those games, four against the Cottagers, but the East Midlands giants need to find more of a ruthless streak in the final third.

The 2-0 victory over Peterborough United last weekend ended a wait of 338 minutes for a goal, and it has been four games since either Lewis Grabban or Lyle Taylor found the back of the net.

Swansea City Championship form:
  • W
  • L
  • D
  • W
  • L
  • L

Nottingham Forest Championship form:
  • D
  • W
  • D
  • D
  • D
  • W



Team News

Swansea City manager Russell Martin pictured on August 28, 2021© Reuters

Martin will likely make at least one change to his Swansea XI with Olivier Ntcham expected to come in for Korey Smith.

Joel Latibeaudiere and Ryan Bennett are alternatives in defence, while Jake Bidwell may return on the left-hand side.

As for Forest, Cooper could be prepared to stick with the starting lineup from the win over Peterborough.

While Cafu is an option if Braian Ojeda drops out of the team, the latter is favourite to get the nod in midfield.

Despite going three games without a goal, Grabban should retain his spot in attack.

Swansea City possible starting lineup:
Hamer; Bennett, Naughton, Williams; Laird, Grimes, Downes, Bidwell; Ntcham, Paterson; Piroe

Nottingham Forest possible starting lineup:
Samba; Spence, Worrall, McKenna, Colback; Ojeda, Yates; Johnson, Garner, Zinckernagel; Grabban


SM words green background

We say: Swansea City 1-2 Nottingham Forest

Neither club are strangers to a draw this season, and it would come as no surprise if that was the final result at the weekend. However, there is leeway to push for all three points during the closing stages, something which may play into the favour of the visitors.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 1.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 1.5:data



ID:472352:1false2false3false:QQ:: from db desktop :LenBod:collect7867:

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 44.62%. A draw had a probability of 28.4% and a win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 26.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.01%) and 2-1 (8.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.04%), while for a Nottingham Forest win it was 0-1 (10.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Nottingham Forest would win this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Swansea vs Nott'm Forest

Swansea City
39.0%
Draw
19.5%
Nottingham Forest
41.5%
41
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool119112161528
2Manchester CityMan City117222213923
3Chelsea115422113819
4Arsenal115421812619
5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest115421510519
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton115421915419
7Fulham115331613318
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
9Aston Villa115331717018
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1151523131016
11Brentford115152222016
12Bournemouth114341515015
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Leicester CityLeicester112451421-710
16Everton112451017-710
17Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
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19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves111371627-116
20Southampton11119721-144


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