MX23RW : Tuesday, November 5 16:42:21| >> :300:86500:86500:
Premier League 2 - Div 1
Dec 15, 2023 at 11.30am UK
Staplewood Training Ground

Saints U21s
2 - 1
Derby U21s

Amo-Ameyaw (35'), Jeffcott (90+7' og.)
Amo-Ameyaw (86')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Allen (79')
Jeffcott (31'), C (52')
Coverage of the Premier League 2 - Div 1 clash between Southampton Under-21s and Derby County Under-21s.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Everton U21s 5-0 Saints U21s
Monday, December 4 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1
Last Game: Derby U21s 5-1 Reading U21s
Monday, December 4 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton Under-21s win with a probability of 56.97%. A win for Derby County Under-21s had a probability of 23.63% and a draw had a probability of 19.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.95%) and 2-0 (5.92%). The likeliest Derby County Under-21s win was 1-2 (5.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Southampton Under-21s in this match.

Result
Southampton Under-21sDrawDerby County Under-21s
56.97% (0.206 0.21) 19.4% (-0.064 -0.06) 23.63% (-0.143 -0.14)
Both teams to score 70.19% (0.073999999999998 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
73.96% (0.16 0.16)26.05% (-0.162 -0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
53.73% (0.207 0.21)46.27% (-0.208 -0.21)
Southampton Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.58% (0.097999999999999 0.1)9.42% (-0.0991 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.32% (0.232 0.23)31.69% (-0.233 -0.23)
Derby County Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.49% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)22.51% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.92% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)56.08% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Southampton Under-21s 56.97%
    Derby County Under-21s 23.63%
    Draw 19.4%
Southampton Under-21sDrawDerby County Under-21s
2-1 @ 8.82% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.95% (0.02 0.02)
2-0 @ 5.92% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-2 @ 5.18% (0.014 0.01)
1-0 @ 5.01% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-0 @ 4.66% (0.013000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 4.1% (0.03 0.03)
4-2 @ 3.06% (0.022 0.02)
4-0 @ 2.75% (0.021 0.02)
5-1 @ 1.94% (0.022 0.02)
4-3 @ 1.52% (0.011 0.01)
5-2 @ 1.45% (0.017 0.02)
5-0 @ 1.3% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 4.32%
Total : 56.97%
1-1 @ 7.47% (-0.045 -0.04)
2-2 @ 6.58% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-3 @ 2.58% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
0-0 @ 2.12% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 19.4%
1-2 @ 5.57% (-0.034000000000001 -0.03)
2-3 @ 3.27% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
0-1 @ 3.16% (-0.033 -0.03)
1-3 @ 2.77% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-2 @ 2.36% (-0.025 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.22% (-0.002 -0)
0-3 @ 1.17% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.03% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
3-4 @ 0.96% (0.003 0)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 23.63%

Head to Head
Mar 31, 2023 7pm
Derby U21s
1-3
Saints U21s
Brown (60')
Armitage (9'), Amo-Ameyaw (57'), Doyle (90')
Jan 6, 2023 7pm
Saints U21s
3-0
Derby U21s
Doyle (17'), Morgan (21'), Ballard (90+5')
rhs 2.0
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