Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa Under-23s win with a probability of 58.97%. A win for Norwich City Under-23s had a probability of 21.9% and a draw had a probability of 19.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa Under-23s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.16%) and 2-0 (6.36%). The likeliest Norwich City Under-23s win was 1-2 (5.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aston Villa Under-23s would win this match.
