Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa Under-21s win with a probability of 44.07%. A win for Newcastle United Under-21s had a probability of 33.38% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.2%) and 0-2 (5.64%). The likeliest Newcastle United Under-21s win was 2-1 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aston Villa Under-21s would win this match.