Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United Under-21s win with a probability of 51.56%. A win for Aston Villa Under-21s had a probability of 27.03% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (6.44%) and 0-1 (6.32%). The likeliest Aston Villa Under-21s win was 2-1 (6.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Newcastle United Under-21s in this match.