EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Oct 18, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
The People's Pension Stadium
Crawley5 - 2Aston Villa U21s
Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between Crawley Town and Aston Villa Under-21s.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Crawley 2-1 Newport
Saturday, October 15 at 3pm in League Two
Saturday, October 15 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Aston Villa U21s 1-2 Newcastle U21s
Friday, October 14 at 6pm in Premier League 2 - Div 2
Friday, October 14 at 6pm in Premier League 2 - Div 2
Goals
for
for
14
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 53.59%. A win for Aston Villa Under-21s had a probability of 24.95% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.17%) and 1-0 (7.08%). The likeliest Aston Villa Under-21s win was 1-2 (6.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.4%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crawley Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Crawley Town | Draw | Aston Villa Under-21s |
53.59% ( 0.02) | 21.47% ( -0) | 24.95% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 63.82% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
