Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 45.6%. A win for Rio Ave had a probability of 28.35% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.09%) and 0-2 (8.26%). The likeliest Rio Ave win was 1-0 (8.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Rio Ave | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
28.35% ( 0.01) | 26.04% ( 0.01) | 45.6% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 51.35% ( -0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.36% ( -0.04) | 52.64% ( 0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.71% ( -0.03) | 74.29% ( 0.04) |
Rio Ave Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.71% ( -0.02) | 33.29% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.1% ( -0.02) | 69.91% ( 0.02) |
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.97% ( -0.02) | 23.03% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.15% ( -0.04) | 56.85% ( 0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Rio Ave | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
1-0 @ 8.43% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 6.81% ( -0) 2-0 @ 4.64% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2.5% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.83% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.7% ( 0) Other @ 2.44% Total : 28.35% | 1-1 @ 12.38% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.67% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5% ( -0) Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.04% | 0-1 @ 11.25% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 9.09% ( -0) 0-2 @ 8.26% ( 0) 1-3 @ 4.45% ( -0) 0-3 @ 4.05% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.45% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.63% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.49% ( -0) Other @ 2.93% Total : 45.6% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 17 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 48 | 14 | 34 | 41 |
2 | Porto | 16 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 40 | 9 | 31 | 40 |
3 | Benfica | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 38 | 11 | 27 | 38 |
4 | Braga | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 30 | 19 | 11 | 31 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 17 | 10 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 31 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 26 | 22 | 4 | 25 |
7 | Casa Pia | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 24 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 22 |
9 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 17 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 20 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 20 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 19 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 18 |
13 | Estrela Amadora | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 29 | -13 | 16 |
14 | AVS | 17 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 15 |
15 | AroucaArouca | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 28 | -15 | 15 |
16 | SC FarenseFarense | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 23 | -12 | 14 |
17 | Nacional | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 23 | -12 | 13 |
18 | BoavistaBoavista | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 26 | -15 | 12 |
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