Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United Under-21s win with a probability of 74.48%. A draw had a probability of 13.5% and a win for Newcastle United Under-21s had a probability of 12.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United Under-21s win was 3-1 with a probability of 7.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.36%) and 4-1 (6.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 2-2 (4.82%), while for a Newcastle United Under-21s win it was 1-2 (3.01%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leeds United Under-21s would win this match.