Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton Under-21s win with a probability of 49.39%. A win for Aston Villa Under-21s had a probability of 30.24% and a draw had a probability of 20.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southampton Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.09%) and 3-2 (5.22%). The likeliest Aston Villa Under-21s win was 1-2 (6.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Southampton Under-21s would win this match.