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Premier League 2 - Div 2
Oct 8, 2022 at 12pm UK
Staplewood Training Ground

Saints U21s
2 - 0
Aston Villa U21s

Doyle (12'), Pearce (36')
Turner (43')
Lawrence (27')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Smith (61')
Coverage of the Premier League 2 - Div 2 clash between Southampton Under-21s and Aston Villa Under-21s.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton Under-21s win with a probability of 49.39%. A win for Aston Villa Under-21s had a probability of 30.24% and a draw had a probability of 20.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.09%) and 3-2 (5.22%). The likeliest Aston Villa Under-21s win was 1-2 (6.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Southampton Under-21s would win this match.

Result
Southampton Under-21sDrawAston Villa Under-21s
49.39% (-0.25 -0.25) 20.37% (-0.137 -0.14) 30.24% (0.391 0.39)
Both teams to score 72.95% (0.81699999999999 0.82)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
75% (0.937 0.94)24.99% (-0.934 -0.93)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
55.09% (1.214 1.21)44.91% (-1.211 -1.21)
Southampton Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.01% (0.265 0.27)10.99% (-0.263 -0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.74% (0.57899999999999 0.58)35.25% (-0.575 -0.58)
Aston Villa Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.95% (0.679 0.68)18.04% (-0.675 -0.68)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.05% (1.144 1.14)48.94% (-1.142 -1.14)
Score Analysis
    Southampton Under-21s 49.39%
    Aston Villa Under-21s 30.24%
    Draw 20.37%
Southampton Under-21sDrawAston Villa Under-21s
2-1 @ 8.28% (-0.144 -0.14)
3-1 @ 6.09% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-2 @ 5.22% (0.079 0.08)
2-0 @ 4.83% (-0.192 -0.19)
1-0 @ 4.38% (-0.223 -0.22)
3-0 @ 3.56% (-0.102 -0.1)
4-1 @ 3.36% (0.014 0.01)
4-2 @ 2.88% (0.074 0.07)
4-0 @ 1.97% (-0.034 -0.03)
4-3 @ 1.64% (0.076 0.08)
5-1 @ 1.49% (0.022 0.02)
5-2 @ 1.27% (0.046 0.05)
Other @ 4.42%
Total : 49.39%
1-1 @ 7.5% (-0.213 -0.21)
2-2 @ 7.09% (0.032 0.03)
3-3 @ 2.98% (0.108 0.11)
0-0 @ 1.98% (-0.123 -0.12)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 20.37%
1-2 @ 6.42% (-0.04 -0.04)
2-3 @ 4.05% (0.105 0.11)
1-3 @ 3.66% (0.056 0.06)
0-1 @ 3.4% (-0.134 -0.13)
0-2 @ 2.91% (-0.049 -0.05)
2-4 @ 1.73% (0.081 0.08)
0-3 @ 1.66% (0.008 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.57% (0.058 0.06)
3-4 @ 1.28% (0.073 0.07)
Other @ 3.57%
Total : 30.24%

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