Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 73.14%. A draw had a probability of 16.1% and a win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 10.81%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.33%) and 3-0 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.47%), while for a Crystal Palace win it was 1-2 (3.21%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.