Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 31

Apr 15, 2023 at 12.30pm UK

Villa Park

Aston Villa
3 - 0
Newcastle

Ramsey (11'), Watkins (64', 83')
Duran (90+3')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Schar (22')

The Match

Match Report

Ollie Watkins continues his scintillating form with a brace and assist as Aston Villa aid their European hopes with a merited 3-0 win over Newcastle United at Villa Park.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Aston Villa and Newcastle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Aston Villa

All competitions

Last Game: Aston Villa 2-0 Nott'm Forest
Saturday, April 8 at 3pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Newcastle United

All competitions

Last Game: Brentford 1-2 Newcastle
Saturday, April 8 at 3pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 47.18%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 27.86% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.36%) and 0-2 (8.1%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 1-0 (7.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.

Result
Aston Villa	Draw	Newcastle United
27.86% ( -0.02)	24.96% ( -0)	47.18% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 54.38% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.49% (

-0.01)

48.51% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.36% (

-0.01)

70.64% (

0.01)

Aston Villa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.49% (

-0.02)

31.5% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.1% (

-0.02)

67.89% (

0.02)

Newcastle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.4%

20.6% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.85% (

53.15% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Aston Villa 27.86%

Newcastle United 47.17%

Draw 24.96%

Aston Villa	Draw	Newcastle United
1-0 @ 7.5% ( -0) 2-1 @ 6.84% ( -0) 2-0 @ 4.33% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.63% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.08% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.67% ( -0) Other @ 2.81% Total : 27.86%	1-1 @ 11.84% 0-0 @ 6.49% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.4% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.1% ( -0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.96%	0-1 @ 10.25% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 9.36% ( 0) 0-2 @ 8.1% ( 0) 1-3 @ 4.93% ( 0) 0-3 @ 4.27% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.85% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.95% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.69% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.12% Other @ 2.68% Total : 47.17%