Newcastle

1 - 1

Aston Villa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 46.61%. A win for Newcastle United had a probability of 28.24% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.3%) and 0-2 (8.05%). The likeliest Newcastle United win was 1-0 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.