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Premier League | Gameweek 28
Mar 18, 2023 at 3pm UK
Villa Park
Bournemouth logo

Aston Villa
3 - 0
Bournemouth

Luiz (7'), Ramsey (80'), Buendia (89')
McGinn (36')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Billing (14'), Lerma (58'), Senesi (66'), Stephens (79')

The Match

Match Report

Aston Villa ended a four-match losing run versus Bournemouth on Saturday, earning a 3-0 victory against them to extend their unbeaten run to four successive matches in the Premier League.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Aston Villa and Bournemouth, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: West Ham 1-1 Aston Villa
Sunday, March 12 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Bournemouth 1-0 Liverpool
Saturday, March 11 at 12.30pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 61.5%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Bournemouth had a probability of 17.19%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.67%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.1%), while for a Bournemouth win it was 0-1 (5.15%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aston Villa would win this match.

Result
Aston VillaDrawBournemouth
61.5% (0.0010000000000048 0) 21.31%17.19%
Both teams to score 52.05% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.27%44.73% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.91%67.1% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.98% (0.00099999999999056 0)14.03%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.42% (0.00099999999999767 0)41.58%
Bournemouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.54% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)39.46% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.85%76.15% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Score Analysis
    Aston Villa 61.49%
    Bournemouth 17.19%
    Draw 21.3%
Aston VillaDrawBournemouth
1-0 @ 10.87%
2-0 @ 10.67%
2-1 @ 9.93% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 6.99% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 6.5%
4-0 @ 3.43%
4-1 @ 3.19%
3-2 @ 3.02%
4-2 @ 1.48%
5-0 @ 1.35%
5-1 @ 1.25%
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 61.49%
1-1 @ 10.1%
0-0 @ 5.54%
2-2 @ 4.62%
3-3 @ 0.94%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 21.3%
0-1 @ 5.15%
1-2 @ 4.7%
0-2 @ 2.39%
1-3 @ 1.46%
2-3 @ 1.43%
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 17.19%

How you voted: Aston Villa vs Bournemouth

Aston Villa
67.1%
Draw
23.7%
Bournemouth
9.2%
152
Head to Head
Aug 6, 2022 3pm
Bournemouth
2-0
Aston Villa
Lerma (2'), Moore (80')
Smith (39'), Pearson (45+2'), Billing (73')

Ings (23'), Ramsey (45+3'), Luiz (90+3')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool15113131131836
2Chelsea16104237191834
3Arsenal1686229151430
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest168442119228
5Manchester CityMan City168352823527
6Bournemouth167452421325
7Aston Villa167452425-125
8Fulham166642422224
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton166642625124
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1672736191723
11Brentford167273230223
12Newcastle UnitedNewcastle166552321223
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd166462119222
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham165472129-819
15Crystal Palace163761721-416
16Everton153661421-715
17Leicester CityLeicester163582134-1314
18Ipswich TownIpswich162681628-1212
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1623112440-169
20Southampton1612131136-255


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