Aston Villa1 - 0Crystal Palace
The Match
Match Report
Preview
Form, Standings, Stats
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in Premier League
Saturday, February 25 at 7.45pm in Premier League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 48.96%. A win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 25.78% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.4%) and 2-0 (8.85%). The likeliest Crystal Palace win was 0-1 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Aston Villa in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Aston Villa.
Result | ||
Aston Villa | Draw | Crystal Palace |
48.96% ( -0.53) | 25.25% ( -0.1) | 25.78% ( 0.63) |
Both teams to score 51.78% ( 0.9) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.87% ( 0.89) | 51.12% ( -0.89) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.02% ( 0.78) | 72.97% ( -0.78) |
Aston Villa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.1% ( 0.14) | 20.9% ( -0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.39% ( 0.21) | 53.61% ( -0.21) |
Crystal Palace Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.46% ( 1.02) | 34.54% ( -1.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.74% ( 1.07) | 71.26% ( -1.07) |
Score Analysis |
Aston Villa | Draw | Crystal Palace |
1-0 @ 11.29% ( -0.37) 2-1 @ 9.4% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.85% ( -0.25) 3-1 @ 4.91% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 4.62% ( -0.11) 3-2 @ 2.61% ( 0.08) 4-1 @ 1.92% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.81% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.02% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.54% Total : 48.96% | 1-1 @ 12.01% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 7.22% ( -0.26) 2-2 @ 5% ( 0.14) 3-3 @ 0.92% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.25% | 0-1 @ 7.67% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 6.39% ( 0.15) 0-2 @ 4.08% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 2.26% ( 0.12) 2-3 @ 1.77% ( 0.1) 0-3 @ 1.45% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.16% Total : 25.78% |