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Premier League
Aston Villa logo
Premier League | Gameweek 26
Mar 4, 2023 at 3pm UK
Villa Park
Crystal Palace logo

Aston Villa
1 - 0
Crystal Palace

Andersen (27' og.)
Moreno (66'), Luiz (80')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Doucoure (57'), Eze (69'), Ahamada (82'), Zaha (87')

The Match

Match Report

Joachim Andersen's second-half own goal gifts Aston Villa a 1-0 win over Crystal Palace in the Premier League on Saturday afternoon.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Aston Villa and Crystal Palace, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Aston Villa

All competitions
Last Game: Everton 0-2 Aston Villa
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in Premier League

Crystal Palace

All competitions
Last Game: Crystal Palace 0-0 Liverpool
Saturday, February 25 at 7.45pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 48.96%. A win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 25.78% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.4%) and 2-0 (8.85%). The likeliest Crystal Palace win was 0-1 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Aston Villa in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Aston Villa.

Result
Aston VillaDrawCrystal Palace
48.96% (-0.53 -0.53) 25.25% (-0.104 -0.1) 25.78% (0.635 0.63)
Both teams to score 51.78% (0.89700000000001 0.9)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.87% (0.892 0.89)51.12% (-0.892 -0.89)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.02% (0.777 0.78)72.97% (-0.776 -0.78)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.1% (0.136 0.14)20.9% (-0.135 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.39% (0.211 0.21)53.61% (-0.21100000000001 -0.21)
Crystal Palace Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.46% (1.023 1.02)34.54% (-1.021 -1.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.74% (1.072 1.07)71.26% (-1.071 -1.07)
Score Analysis
    Aston Villa 48.96%
    Crystal Palace 25.78%
    Draw 25.25%
Aston VillaDrawCrystal Palace
1-0 @ 11.29% (-0.37 -0.37)
2-1 @ 9.4% (0.0040000000000013 0)
2-0 @ 8.85% (-0.246 -0.25)
3-1 @ 4.91% (0.022 0.02)
3-0 @ 4.62% (-0.109 -0.11)
3-2 @ 2.61% (0.083 0.08)
4-1 @ 1.92% (0.017 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.81% (-0.035 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.02% (0.037 0.04)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 48.96%
1-1 @ 12.01% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
0-0 @ 7.22% (-0.261 -0.26)
2-2 @ 5% (0.139 0.14)
3-3 @ 0.92% (0.054 0.05)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 25.25%
0-1 @ 7.67% (-0.059 -0.06)
1-2 @ 6.39% (0.153 0.15)
0-2 @ 4.08% (0.081 0.08)
1-3 @ 2.26% (0.115 0.12)
2-3 @ 1.77% (0.096 0.1)
0-3 @ 1.45% (0.067 0.07)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 25.78%

How you voted: Aston Villa vs Crystal Palace

Aston Villa
59.3%
Draw
26.5%
Crystal Palace
14.2%
113
Head to Head
Aug 20, 2022 3pm
Crystal Palace
3-1
Aston Villa
Zaha (7', 58'), Mateta (71')
Zaha (39'), Schlupp (75')
Watkins (5')
McGinn (36')
May 15, 2022 2pm
Aston Villa
1-1
Crystal Palace
Watkins (69')
Mings (9')
Schlupp (81')
Gallagher (14'), Edouard (76'), Kouyate (89')
Nov 27, 2021 3pm
Crystal Palace
1-2
Aston Villa
Guehi (90+5')
Zaha (29'), Ward (44'), Milivojevic (56')
Targett (15'), McGinn (86')
Cash (29'), Nakamba (54'), Luiz (74')
May 16, 2021 12pm
Crystal Palace
3-2
Aston Villa
Benteke (32'), Zaha (75'), Mitchell (84')
Ward (73'), Kouyate (82'), Zaha (90+2')
McGinn (17'), El Ghazi (34')
McGinn (50'), Hause (86')
Dec 26, 2020 3pm
Aston Villa
3-0
Crystal Palace
Traore (5'), Hause (66'), El Ghazi (76')
Mings (39'), Grealish (45+1')
Mings (45')

Zaha (39'), Milivojevic (56'), Ward (68'), Eze (83')
rhs 2.0
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Bills
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool65011221015
2Manchester CityMan City6420146814
3Arsenal6420125714
4Chelsea6411157813
5Aston Villa6411129313
6Fulham632185311
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle632187111
8Tottenham HotspurSpurs6312125710
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton623110829
10Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest62316519
11Bournemouth622289-18
12Brentford6213810-27
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd621358-37
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham6123610-45
15Ipswich TownIpswich6042510-54
16Everton6114715-84
17Leicester CityLeicester6033812-43
18Crystal Palace603359-43
19Southampton6015312-91
20Wolverhampton WanderersWolves6015616-101
> Premier League Full Table


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