Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 28

Mar 17, 2023 at 8pm UK

City Ground

Nott'm Forest
1 - 2
Newcastle

Dennis (26')
Dennis (22'), Gibbs-White (59'), Shelvey (90+2'), Navas (90+3'), Lodi (90+6')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Isak (45+2', 90+3' pen.)
Burn (33')

The Match

Match Report

A late Alexander Isak penalty earns Newcastle United three points at Nottingham Forest.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Premier League clash between Nottingham Forest and Newcastle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nottingham Forest

All competitions

Last Game: Spurs 3-1 Nott'm Forest
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Newcastle United

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Newcastle 2-1 Wolves
Sunday, March 12 at 4.30pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 52.23%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 23.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.65%) and 0-2 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.55%), while for a Nottingham Forest win it was 1-0 (6.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Newcastle United would win this match.

Result
Nottingham Forest	Draw	Newcastle United
23.46% ( 0.59)	24.3% ( -0.05)	52.23% ( -0.53)

Both teams to score 52.36% (

0.85)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.78% (

0.78)

49.21% (

-0.78)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.72% (

0.7)

71.27% (

-0.7)

Nottingham Forest Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.48% (

0.97)

35.51% (

-0.97)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.72% (

0.99)

72.28% (

-0.99)

Newcastle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.19% (

0.09)

18.81% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.76% (

0.15)

50.23% (

-0.15)

Score Analysis

Nottingham Forest 23.46%

Newcastle United 52.23%

Draw 24.3%

Nottingham Forest	Draw	Newcastle United
1-0 @ 6.92% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 5.98% ( 0.14) 2-0 @ 3.58% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 2.06% ( 0.1) 3-2 @ 1.73% ( 0.09) 3-0 @ 1.24% ( 0.06) Other @ 1.96% Total : 23.46%	1-1 @ 11.55% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.68% ( -0.22) 2-2 @ 5% ( 0.13) 3-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.3%	0-1 @ 11.16% ( -0.32) 1-2 @ 9.65% ( 0) 0-2 @ 9.32% ( -0.25) 1-3 @ 5.38% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 5.19% ( -0.12) 2-3 @ 2.78% ( 0.08) 1-4 @ 2.25% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 2.17% ( -0.04) 2-4 @ 1.16% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.17% Total : 52.23%