Premier League | Gameweek 27
Mar 2, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Kenilworth Road Stadium
Luton2 - 3Aston Villa
The Match
Match Report
Lucas Digne scores an 89th-minute winner as Aston Villa record a 3-2 victory over Luton Town in Saturday's Premier League clash at Kenilworth Road.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Luton Town and Aston Villa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Luton 2-6 Man City
Tuesday, February 27 at 8pm in FA Cup
Tuesday, February 27 at 8pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Aston Villa 4-2 Nott'm Forest
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in Premier League
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in Premier League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 60.41%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Luton Town had a probability of 19.28%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.71%) and 0-1 (8.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.2%), while for a Luton Town win it was 2-1 (5.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Aston Villa would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Luton Town | Draw | Aston Villa |
19.28% ( -0.05) | 20.3% ( -0.18) | 60.41% ( 0.22) |
| Both teams to score 59.7% ( 0.56) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
