Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Aston Villa win with a probability of 62.04%. A draw has a probability of 19.9% and a win for Nottingham Forest has a probability of 18.05%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (9.04%) and 1-0 (8.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.06%), while for a Nottingham Forest win it is 1-2 (4.94%).
Result | ||
Aston Villa | Draw | Nottingham Forest |
62.04% ( 0.88) | 19.9% ( -0.23) | 18.05% ( -0.65) |
Both teams to score 58.79% ( -0.44) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.29% ( 0.01) | 36.7% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.13% ( 0.01) | 58.87% ( -0.01) |
Aston Villa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.61% ( 0.24) | 11.38% ( -0.24) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
63.88% ( 0.51) | 36.11% ( -0.51) |
Nottingham Forest Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.34% ( -0.67) | 33.65% ( 0.67) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.69% ( -0.74) | 70.3% ( 0.74) |
Score Analysis |
Aston Villa | Draw | Nottingham Forest |
2-1 @ 9.85% ( 0) 2-0 @ 9.04% ( 0.17) 1-0 @ 8.32% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 7.14% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 6.55% ( 0.18) 3-2 @ 3.89% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 3.88% ( 0.07) 4-0 @ 3.56% ( 0.13) 4-2 @ 2.11% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.69% ( 0.05) 5-0 @ 1.55% ( 0.07) 5-2 @ 0.92% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.55% Total : 62.04% | 1-1 @ 9.06% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 5.36% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 3.83% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.23% Total : 19.9% | 1-2 @ 4.94% ( -0.14) 0-1 @ 4.17% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 2.27% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 1.95% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 1.79% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.94% Total : 18.05% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Liverpool | 15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 31 | 13 | 18 | 36 |
2 | Chelsea | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 34 |
3 | Arsenal | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 29 | 15 | 14 | 30 |
4 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 28 |
5 | Manchester CityMan City | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 28 | 23 | 5 | 27 |
6 | Bournemouth | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 21 | 3 | 25 |
7 | Aston Villa | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 25 | -1 | 25 |
8 | Fulham | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 24 |
9 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 24 |
10 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 36 | 19 | 17 | 23 |
11 | Brentford | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 32 | 30 | 2 | 23 |
12 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 23 | 21 | 2 | 23 |
13 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 22 |
14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 29 | -8 | 19 |
15 | Crystal Palace | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 16 |
16 | Everton | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 15 |
17 | Leicester CityLeicester | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 14 |
18 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
19 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 16 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 24 | 40 | -16 | 9 |
20 | Southampton | 16 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 36 | -25 | 5 |
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