UEFA Conference League

Europa Conference League | Round of 16 | 1st Leg

Mar 7, 2024 at 5.45pm UK

Johan Cruijff Arena

Ajax
0 - 0
Aston Villa

(Aston Villa win 4-0 on aggregate)

Mannsverk (24'), Gooijer (68')
Gooijer (86')

Konsa (25'), Cash (64'), Zaniolo (76')
Konsa (83')

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Ajax

All competitions

Europa Conference League

Last Game: Ajax 2-0 Utrecht
Sunday, March 3 at 11.15am in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

Aston Villa

All competitions

Europa Conference League

Last Game: Luton 2-3 Aston Villa
Saturday, March 2 at 5.30pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 42.35%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 34.26% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.99%) and 2-0 (5.9%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 1-2 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Ajax	Draw	Aston Villa
42.35% ( 0.04)	23.39% ( 0)	34.26% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 63.23% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.64% (

-0.02)

38.36% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.36% (

-0.02)

60.65% (

0.02)

Ajax Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.47% (

0.01)

18.53% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.23% (

0.02)

49.77% (

-0.02)

Aston Villa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.61% (

-0.03)

22.39% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.1% (

-0.05)

55.9% (

0.05)

Score Analysis

Ajax 42.35%

Aston Villa 34.26%

Draw 23.39%

Ajax	Draw	Aston Villa
2-1 @ 8.82% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 6.99% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 5.9% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.96% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.71% 3-0 @ 3.31% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.09% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.56% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.4% ( 0) Other @ 3.61% Total : 42.35%	1-1 @ 10.46% 2-2 @ 6.6% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.15% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.85% ( -0) Other @ 0.32% Total : 23.39%	1-2 @ 7.83% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 6.21% 0-2 @ 4.65% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.91% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.29% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.32% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.46% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.23% ( -0) Other @ 3.36% Total : 34.26%