Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 51.7%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion had a probability of 24.83% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.58%) and 0-2 (8.44%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion win was 2-1 (6.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.