Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 54.14%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion had a probability of 25.46% and a draw had a probability of 20.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.64%) and 2-0 (6.15%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-2 (6.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.