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Premier League | Gameweek 34
Apr 24, 2022 at 2pm UK
Falmer Stadium
Southampton logo

Brighton
2 - 2
Southampton

Welbeck (2'), Salisu (44' og.)
Cucurella (45+3')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Ward-Prowse (45+4', 54')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between Brighton & Hove Albion and Southampton, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Brighton & Hove Albion 1-1 Southampton

Both of these sides will be determined to bounce back from midweek defeats, but we are finding it difficult to separate them here. Brighton are in the better form, but they have only won three home Premier League matches this season, so we have had to settle on a low-scoring draw this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 45.93%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 28.28% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.16%) and 2-0 (8.22%). The likeliest Southampton win was 0-1 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Brighton & Hove AlbionDrawSouthampton
45.93%25.79%28.28%
Both teams to score 52.09%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.35%51.66%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.56%73.44%
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.54%22.46%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44%56%
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.18%32.82%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.61%69.39%
Score Analysis
    Brighton & Hove Albion 45.92%
    Southampton 28.29%
    Draw 25.78%
Brighton & Hove AlbionDrawSouthampton
1-0 @ 11%
2-1 @ 9.16%
2-0 @ 8.22%
3-1 @ 4.56%
3-0 @ 4.09%
3-2 @ 2.54%
4-1 @ 1.7%
4-0 @ 1.53%
4-2 @ 0.95%
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 45.92%
1-1 @ 12.26%
0-0 @ 7.37%
2-2 @ 5.1%
3-3 @ 0.94%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.78%
0-1 @ 8.21%
1-2 @ 6.83%
0-2 @ 4.58%
1-3 @ 2.54%
2-3 @ 1.9%
0-3 @ 1.7%
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 28.29%

How you voted: Brighton vs Southampton

Brighton & Hove Albion
58.3%
Draw
27.8%
Southampton
13.9%
144
Head to Head
Dec 4, 2021 3pm
Southampton
1-1
Brighton
Broja (29')
Tella (69'), Salisu (80'), Elyounoussi (90+4'), Romeu (90+7')
Maupay (90+8')
Duffy (45'), Bissouma (74')
Mar 14, 2021 12pm
Dec 7, 2020 8pm
Brighton
1-2
Southampton
Gross (26' pen.)
Dunk (56'), Gross (80'), Bissouma (89')
Vestergaard (45'), Ings (81' pen.)
Djenepo (13'), Romeu (47'), McCarthy (87')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool29217169274270
2Arsenal281510352242855
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest28156745331251
4Chelsea28147753361749
5Manchester CityMan City28145953381547
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton28121064640646
7Aston Villa2912984145-445
8Bournemouth28128847341344
9Newcastle UnitedNewcastle2713594638844
10Fulham2811984138342
11Crystal Palace2810993633339
12Brentford28115124844438
13Tottenham HotspurSpurs281041455411434
14Manchester UnitedMan Utd2897123440-634
15Everton2871293135-433
16West Ham UnitedWest Ham2796123247-1533
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2865173857-1923
18Ipswich TownIpswich2838172658-3217
19Leicester CityLeicester2845192562-3717
20Southampton2823232068-489


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