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Premier League | Gameweek 34
Apr 24, 2022 at 2pm UK
Falmer Stadium
Southampton logo

Brighton
2 - 2
Southampton

Welbeck (2'), Salisu (44' og.)
Cucurella (45+3')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Ward-Prowse (45+4', 54')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between Brighton & Hove Albion and Southampton, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Brighton & Hove Albion 1-1 Southampton

Both of these sides will be determined to bounce back from midweek defeats, but we are finding it difficult to separate them here. Brighton are in the better form, but they have only won three home Premier League matches this season, so we have had to settle on a low-scoring draw this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 45.93%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 28.28% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.16%) and 2-0 (8.22%). The likeliest Southampton win was 0-1 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Brighton & Hove AlbionDrawSouthampton
45.93%25.79%28.28%
Both teams to score 52.09%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.35%51.66%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.56%73.44%
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.54%22.46%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44%56%
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.18%32.82%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.61%69.39%
Score Analysis
    Brighton & Hove Albion 45.92%
    Southampton 28.29%
    Draw 25.78%
Brighton & Hove AlbionDrawSouthampton
1-0 @ 11%
2-1 @ 9.16%
2-0 @ 8.22%
3-1 @ 4.56%
3-0 @ 4.09%
3-2 @ 2.54%
4-1 @ 1.7%
4-0 @ 1.53%
4-2 @ 0.95%
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 45.92%
1-1 @ 12.26%
0-0 @ 7.37%
2-2 @ 5.1%
3-3 @ 0.94%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.78%
0-1 @ 8.21%
1-2 @ 6.83%
0-2 @ 4.58%
1-3 @ 2.54%
2-3 @ 1.9%
0-3 @ 1.7%
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 28.29%

How you voted: Brighton vs Southampton

Brighton & Hove Albion
58.3%
Draw
27.8%
Southampton
13.9%
144
Head to Head
Dec 4, 2021 3pm
Southampton
1-1
Brighton
Broja (29')
Tella (69'), Salisu (80'), Elyounoussi (90+4'), Romeu (90+7')
Maupay (90+8')
Duffy (45'), Bissouma (74')
Mar 14, 2021 12pm
Dec 7, 2020 8pm
Brighton
1-2
Southampton
Gross (26' pen.)
Dunk (56'), Gross (80'), Bissouma (89')
Vestergaard (45'), Ings (81' pen.)
Djenepo (13'), Romeu (47'), McCarthy (87')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool119112161528
2Manchester CityMan City117222213923
3Chelsea115422113819
4Arsenal115421812619
5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest115421510519
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton115421915419
7Fulham115331613318
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
9Aston Villa115331717018
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1151523131016
11Brentford115152222016
12Bournemouth114341515015
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Leicester CityLeicester112451421-710
16Everton112451017-710
17Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
18Crystal Palace11146815-77
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves111371627-116
20Southampton11119721-144


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