We said: Brighton & Hove Albion 1-3 Tottenham Hotspur
Despite their win-loss-win-loss routine under Conte in recent weeks, Spurs have never needed any lessons on finding the back of the net, which does not bode well for an out-of-sorts Brighton and their leaky defence.
The Seagulls have become a bit of a bogey team for Spurs on the road in recent years, but after claiming a 3-1 win in the cup last month, we can see lightning striking twice as Conte's side reignite their Champions League charge.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tottenham Hotspur win with a probability of 40.57%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion had a probability of 32.9% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tottenham Hotspur win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.59%) and 0-2 (7.17%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-0 (9.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Tottenham Hotspur would win this match.