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Premier League
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Premier League | Gameweek 37
May 15, 2022 at 2pm UK
Elland Road
Brighton logo

Leeds
1 - 1
Brighton

Struijk (90+2')
Firpo (71'), Rodrigo (81'), Cooper (84')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Welbeck (21')
Caicedo (65'), Lamptey (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between Leeds United and Brighton & Hove Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Leeds United

Last Six:
Last Game: Brentford 1-2 Leeds
Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Premier League

Brighton & Hove Albion

Last Six:
Last Game: Brighton 3-1 West Ham
Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Premier League

We said: Leeds United 0-2 Brighton & Hove Albion

 Momentum and morale in the visiting camp could hardly be higher right now, and the giant-killing Seagulls also boast a much fresher squad and complement of options off the bench compared to their depleted hosts. The highly-anticipated return of Liam Cooper did not do much good for Leeds in midweek, and with the quick turnaround also working against them, we can only back Potter's in-form side to get the job done - with another clean sheet in tow - and leave the Whites in major trouble in the process. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 50.17%. A win for Leeds United had a probability of 25.86% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.61%) and 0-2 (8.32%). The likeliest Leeds United win was 1-0 (6.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.

Result
Leeds UnitedDrawBrighton & Hove Albion
25.86% (0.392 0.39) 23.96% (0.139 0.14) 50.17% (-0.529 -0.53)
Both teams to score 55.99% (-0.071999999999996 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.39% (-0.273 -0.27)45.61% (0.275 0.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.06% (-0.262 -0.26)67.94% (0.26300000000001 0.26)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.48% (0.17 0.17)31.52% (-0.167 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.09% (0.192 0.19)67.91% (-0.191 -0.19)
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.77% (-0.306 -0.31)18.23% (0.308 0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.73% (-0.524 -0.52)49.26% (0.525 0.52)
Score Analysis
    Leeds United 25.86%
    Brighton & Hove Albion 50.17%
    Draw 23.96%
Leeds UnitedDrawBrighton & Hove Albion
1-0 @ 6.64% (0.107 0.11)
2-1 @ 6.52% (0.071 0.07)
2-0 @ 3.83% (0.08 0.08)
3-1 @ 2.51% (0.039 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.14% (0.012 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.47% (0.037 0.04)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 25.86%
1-1 @ 11.29% (0.069999999999999 0.07)
0-0 @ 5.75% (0.067 0.07)
2-2 @ 5.55% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.21% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 23.96%
0-1 @ 9.78% (0.017000000000001 0.02)
1-2 @ 9.61% (-0.034000000000001 -0.03)
0-2 @ 8.32% (-0.068999999999999 -0.07)
1-3 @ 5.45% (-0.074 -0.07)
0-3 @ 4.72% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
2-3 @ 3.15% (-0.028 -0.03)
1-4 @ 2.32% (-0.055 -0.06)
0-4 @ 2.01% (-0.057 -0.06)
2-4 @ 1.34% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 3.47%
Total : 50.17%

How you voted: Leeds vs Brighton

Leeds United
30.3%
Draw
14.0%
Brighton & Hove Albion
55.6%
178
Head to Head
Nov 27, 2021 5.30pm
Brighton
0-0
Leeds

Bissouma (81')

Firpo (5'), Llorente (66'), Shackleton (85')
May 1, 2021 3pm
Brighton
2-0
Leeds
Gross (14' pen.), Welbeck (79')
Gross (76')

Ayling (88')
Jan 16, 2021 3pm
Leeds
0-1
Brighton

Ayling (42')
Maupay (17')
Webster (71')
Mar 18, 2017 5.30pm
Leeds
2-0
Brighton
Wood (63', 85' pen.)

Rosenior (37'), Murray (67')
Dec 9, 2016 7.45pm
Brighton
2-0
Leeds
Murray (23' pen.), Hemed (82' pen.)
Murray (26')

Ayling (11'), Janssen (19'), Bartley (81')
Phillips (23')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool29217169274270
2Arsenal281510352242855
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest28156745331251
4Chelsea28147753361749
5Manchester CityMan City28145953381547
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton28121064640646
7Aston Villa2912984145-445
8Bournemouth28128847341344
9Newcastle UnitedNewcastle2713594638844
10Fulham2811984138342
11Crystal Palace2810993633339
12Brentford28115124844438
13Tottenham HotspurSpurs281041455411434
14Manchester UnitedMan Utd2897123440-634
15Everton2871293135-433
16West Ham UnitedWest Ham2796123247-1533
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2865173857-1923
18Ipswich TownIpswich2838172658-3217
19Leicester CityLeicester2845192562-3717
20Southampton2823232068-489
> Premier League Full Table


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