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Premier League | Gameweek 37
May 15, 2022 at 2pm UK
Elland Road
Brighton logo

Leeds
1 - 1
Brighton

Struijk (90+2')
Firpo (71'), Rodrigo (81'), Cooper (84')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Welbeck (21')
Caicedo (65'), Lamptey (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between Leeds United and Brighton & Hove Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Brentford 1-2 Leeds
Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Premier League

We said: Leeds United 0-2 Brighton & Hove Albion

Momentum and morale in the visiting camp could hardly be higher right now, and the giant-killing Seagulls also boast a much fresher squad and complement of options off the bench compared to their depleted hosts. The highly-anticipated return of Liam Cooper did not do much good for Leeds in midweek, and with the quick turnaround also working against them, we can only back Potter's in-form side to get the job done - with another clean sheet in tow - and leave the Whites in major trouble in the process. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 50.17%. A win for Leeds United had a probability of 25.86% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.61%) and 0-2 (8.32%). The likeliest Leeds United win was 1-0 (6.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.

Result
Leeds UnitedDrawBrighton & Hove Albion
25.86% (0.392 0.39) 23.96% (0.139 0.14) 50.17% (-0.529 -0.53)
Both teams to score 55.99% (-0.071999999999996 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.39% (-0.273 -0.27)45.61% (0.275 0.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.06% (-0.262 -0.26)67.94% (0.26300000000001 0.26)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.48% (0.17 0.17)31.52% (-0.167 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.09% (0.192 0.19)67.91% (-0.191 -0.19)
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.77% (-0.306 -0.31)18.23% (0.308 0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.73% (-0.524 -0.52)49.26% (0.525 0.52)
Score Analysis
    Leeds United 25.86%
    Brighton & Hove Albion 50.17%
    Draw 23.96%
Leeds UnitedDrawBrighton & Hove Albion
1-0 @ 6.64% (0.107 0.11)
2-1 @ 6.52% (0.071 0.07)
2-0 @ 3.83% (0.08 0.08)
3-1 @ 2.51% (0.039 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.14% (0.012 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.47% (0.037 0.04)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 25.86%
1-1 @ 11.29% (0.069999999999999 0.07)
0-0 @ 5.75% (0.067 0.07)
2-2 @ 5.55% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.21% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 23.96%
0-1 @ 9.78% (0.017000000000001 0.02)
1-2 @ 9.61% (-0.034000000000001 -0.03)
0-2 @ 8.32% (-0.068999999999999 -0.07)
1-3 @ 5.45% (-0.074 -0.07)
0-3 @ 4.72% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
2-3 @ 3.15% (-0.028 -0.03)
1-4 @ 2.32% (-0.055 -0.06)
0-4 @ 2.01% (-0.057 -0.06)
2-4 @ 1.34% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 3.47%
Total : 50.17%

How you voted: Leeds vs Brighton

Leeds United
30.3%
Draw
14.0%
Brighton & Hove Albion
55.6%
178
Head to Head
Nov 27, 2021 5.30pm
May 1, 2021 3pm
Brighton
2-0
Leeds
Gross (14' pen.), Welbeck (79')
Gross (76')

Ayling (88')
Jan 16, 2021 3pm
Mar 18, 2017 5.30pm
Leeds
2-0
Brighton
Wood (63', 85' pen.)

Rosenior (37'), Murray (67')
Dec 9, 2016 7.45pm
Brighton
2-0
Leeds
Murray (23' pen.), Hemed (82' pen.)
Murray (26')

Ayling (11'), Janssen (19'), Bartley (81')
Phillips (23')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool119112161528
2Manchester CityMan City127232217523
3Chelsea126422314922
4Arsenal126422112922
5Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton126422116522
6Tottenham HotspurSpurs1261527131419
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest125431513219
8Aston Villa125431919019
9Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
10Fulham125341717018
11Brentford125252222017
12Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
13Bournemouth124351617-115
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Everton122551017-711
16Leicester CityLeicester122461523-810
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves122372028-89
18Crystal Palace121561017-78
19Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
20Southampton11119721-144


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