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Premier League | Gameweek 30
Apr 21, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Turf Moor
Southampton logo

Burnley
2 - 0
Southampton

Roberts (12'), Collins (44')
Cork (38'), Tarkowski (73')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Bednarek (73'), Perraud (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Premier League clash between Burnley and Southampton, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Burnley 1-2 Newcastle
Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Premier League
Last Game: Leicester 4-1 Southampton
Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Premier League

We said: Burnley 1-1 Southampton

The Clarets and the Saints played out a 2-2 draw at St Mary's earlier this season, and another closely-fought contest could be on the cards on Thursday. The pressure is all on relegation-threatened Burnley to claim maximum points on home soil, but we expect Hasenhuttl's side to frustrate the hosts and secure a point. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 45.79%. A win for Burnley had a probability of 28.76% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.2%) and 0-2 (7.99%). The likeliest Burnley win was 1-0 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.

Result
BurnleyDrawSouthampton
28.76%25.45%45.79%
Both teams to score 53.44%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.97%50.04%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.99%72.01%
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.38%31.63%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.97%68.04%
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.16%21.84%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.93%55.07%
Score Analysis
    Burnley 28.76%
    Southampton 45.78%
    Draw 25.45%
BurnleyDrawSouthampton
1-0 @ 7.95%
2-1 @ 6.96%
2-0 @ 4.58%
3-1 @ 2.67%
3-2 @ 2.03%
3-0 @ 1.76%
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 28.76%
1-1 @ 12.09%
0-0 @ 6.91%
2-2 @ 5.3%
3-3 @ 1.03%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.45%
0-1 @ 10.5%
1-2 @ 9.2%
0-2 @ 7.99%
1-3 @ 4.67%
0-3 @ 4.05%
2-3 @ 2.69%
1-4 @ 1.78%
0-4 @ 1.54%
2-4 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 45.78%

How you voted: Burnley vs Southampton

Burnley
34.7%
Draw
21.7%
Southampton
43.7%
277
Head to Head
Oct 23, 2021 3pm
Southampton
2-2
Burnley
Livramento (41'), Broja (50')
Elyounoussi (81')
Cornet (13', 57')
Cork (42'), Rodriguez (70'), Westwood (72')
Apr 4, 2021 12pm
Southampton
3-2
Burnley
Armstrong (31'), Ings (42'), Redmond (66')
Wood (12' pen.), Vydra (28')
Sep 26, 2020 8pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool119112161528
2Manchester CityMan City117222213923
3Chelsea115422113819
4Arsenal115421812619
5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest115421510519
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton115421915419
7Fulham115331613318
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
9Aston Villa115331717018
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1151523131016
11Brentford115152222016
12Bournemouth114341515015
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Leicester CityLeicester112451421-710
16Everton112451017-710
17Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
18Crystal Palace11146815-77
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves111371627-116
20Southampton11119721-144


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