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Burnley logo
Premier League | Gameweek 6
Sep 23, 2023 at 8pm UK
Turf Moor
Manchester United logo

Burnley
0 - 1
Man Utd


Beyer (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Fernandes (45')
Dalot (13'), Reguilon (55')

The Match

Match Report

Bruno Fernandes's exquisite volley propels Manchester United to a much-needed 1-0 win over Burnley, ending the Red Devils' three-game losing run.

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Saturday's Premier League clash between Burnley and Manchester United.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Burnley and Manchester United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Manchester United could line up for Saturday's Premier League clash with Burnley.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up all of Manchester United's latest injury and suspension news ahead of their Premier League clash with Burnley.

Form, Standings, Stats

Burnley

All competitions
Premier League
Last Game: Nott'm Forest 1-1 Burnley
Monday, September 18 at 7.45pm in Premier League

Manchester United

All competitions
Premier League
Last Game: Bayern 4-3 Man Utd
Wednesday, September 20 at 8pm in Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 40.67%. A win for Manchester United had a probability of 35.97% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.71%) and 2-0 (5.57%). The likeliest Manchester United win was 1-2 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Manchester United would win this match.

Result
BurnleyDrawManchester United
40.67% (0.035000000000004 0.04) 23.36% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05) 35.97% (0.012 0.01)
Both teams to score 63.76% (0.179 0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.17% (0.231 0.23)37.83% (-0.228 -0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.92% (0.247 0.25)60.08% (-0.244 -0.24)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.96% (0.113 0.11)19.03% (-0.111 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.39% (0.187 0.19)50.61% (-0.184 -0.18)
Manchester United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.75% (0.11200000000001 0.11)21.25% (-0.11 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.83% (0.172 0.17)54.17% (-0.17 -0.17)
Score Analysis
    Burnley 40.67%
    Manchester United 35.97%
    Draw 23.36%
BurnleyDrawManchester United
2-1 @ 8.62% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
1-0 @ 6.71% (-0.05 -0.05)
2-0 @ 5.57% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.77% (0.014 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.69% (0.023 0.02)
3-0 @ 3.08% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-1 @ 1.98% (0.013 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.53% (0.015 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.28% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.45%
Total : 40.67%
1-1 @ 10.39% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-2 @ 6.68% (0.018 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.05% (-0.045 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.91% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 23.36%
1-2 @ 8.05% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-1 @ 6.27% (-0.048 -0.05)
0-2 @ 4.85% (-0.021 -0.02)
1-3 @ 4.15% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.45% (0.021 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.5% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-4 @ 1.61% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.33% (0.012 0.01)
0-4 @ 0.97% (0.003 0)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 35.97%

How you voted: Burnley vs Man Utd

Burnley
23.4%
Draw
12.4%
Manchester United
64.2%
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