Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 43.07%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion had a probability of 33.28% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.44%) and 2-0 (6.21%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-2 (7.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.