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Premier League | Gameweek 3
Aug 27, 2023 at 2pm UK
Turf Moor
Aston Villa logo

Burnley
1 - 3
Aston Villa

Foster (47')
Cullen (39'), Berge (45+3')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Cash (8', 20'), Diaby (61')

The Match

Match Report

Matty Cash scores a brace to help free-scoring Aston Villa beat newly-promoted Burnley 3-1 in the Premier League at Turf Moor.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between Burnley and Aston Villa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Burnley 0-3 Man City
Friday, August 11 at 8pm in Premier League
Last Game: Hibernian 0-5 Aston Villa
Wednesday, August 23 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 46.66%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 29.14% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9%) and 2-0 (7.44%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 1-2 (7.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-3 win for Aston Villa in this match.

Result
BurnleyDrawAston Villa
46.66% (0.916 0.92) 24.19% (0.316 0.32) 29.14% (-1.234 -1.23)
Both teams to score 57.87% (-1.87 -1.87)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.65% (-2.123 -2.12)44.35% (2.122 2.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.28% (-2.093 -2.09)66.72% (2.092 2.09)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.85% (-0.467 -0.47)19.14% (0.467 0.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.21% (-0.778 -0.78)50.79% (0.775 0.77)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.57% (-1.888 -1.89)28.43% (1.886 1.89)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.81% (-2.44 -2.44)64.19% (2.439 2.44)
Score Analysis
    Burnley 46.67%
    Aston Villa 29.14%
    Draw 24.19%
BurnleyDrawAston Villa
2-1 @ 9.36% (0.099 0.1)
1-0 @ 9% (0.68 0.68)
2-0 @ 7.44% (0.459 0.46)
3-1 @ 5.16% (-0.021999999999999 -0.02)
3-0 @ 4.1% (0.196 0.2)
3-2 @ 3.24% (-0.191 -0.19)
4-1 @ 2.13% (-0.041 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.69% (0.057 0.06)
4-2 @ 1.34% (-0.1 -0.1)
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 46.67%
1-1 @ 11.31% (0.28 0.28)
2-2 @ 5.88% (-0.256 -0.26)
0-0 @ 5.44% (0.485 0.48)
3-3 @ 1.36% (-0.159 -0.16)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.19%
1-2 @ 7.12% (-0.201 -0.2)
0-1 @ 6.85% (0.27 0.27)
0-2 @ 4.3% (-0.056 -0.06)
1-3 @ 2.98% (-0.252 -0.25)
2-3 @ 2.47% (-0.248 -0.25)
0-3 @ 1.8% (-0.124 -0.12)
1-4 @ 0.94% (-0.135 -0.14)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 29.14%

How you voted: Burnley vs Aston Villa

Burnley
19.2%
Draw
13.5%
Aston Villa
67.4%
193
Head to Head
May 19, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 18
Aston Villa
1-1
Burnley
Buendia (48')
Barnes (45' pen.)
Long (55')
Lowton (90+1')
May 7, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 36
Burnley
1-3
Aston Villa
Cornet (90+1')
Brownhill (69')
Ings (7'), Buendia (31'), Watkins (52')
Digne (21'), Watkins (45+1')
Jan 27, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 20
Burnley
3-2
Aston Villa
Mee (52'), McNeil (76'), Wood (79')
Tarkowski (22')
Watkins (14'), Grealish (68')
Dec 17, 2020 6pm
Gameweek 13
Aston Villa
0-0
Burnley
Watkins (84')
Brady (32')
Jan 1, 2020 12.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool15113131131836
2Chelsea16104237191834
3Arsenal1686229151430
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest168442119228
5Manchester CityMan City168352823527
6Bournemouth167452421325
7Aston Villa167452425-125
8Fulham166642422224
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton166642625124
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1672736191723
11Brentford167273230223
12Newcastle UnitedNewcastle166552321223
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd166462119222
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham165472129-819
15Crystal Palace163761721-416
16Everton153661421-715
17Leicester CityLeicester163582134-1314
18Ipswich TownIpswich162681628-1212
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1623112440-169
20Southampton1612131136-255


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