Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 46.89%. A win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 26.58% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.04%) and 0-2 (8.91%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest win was 1-0 (8.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Nottingham Forest | Draw | Burnley |
26.58% ( -0.56) | 26.52% ( 0.34) | 46.89% ( 0.22) |
Both teams to score 48.68% ( -1.39) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.5% ( -1.6) | 55.5% ( 1.6) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.32% ( -1.33) | 76.68% ( 1.33) |
Nottingham Forest Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.76% ( -1.33) | 36.24% ( 1.33) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.98% ( -1.37) | 73.02% ( 1.37) |
Burnley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.34% ( -0.58) | 23.66% ( 0.59) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.24% ( -0.85) | 57.76% ( 0.85) |
Score Analysis |
Nottingham Forest | Draw | Burnley |
1-0 @ 8.7% ( 0.23) 2-1 @ 6.37% ( -0.17) 2-0 @ 4.42% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 2.15% ( -0.14) 3-2 @ 1.55% ( -0.13) 3-0 @ 1.5% ( -0.07) Other @ 1.89% Total : 26.58% | 1-1 @ 12.54% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 8.57% ( 0.52) 2-2 @ 4.59% ( -0.21) Other @ 0.82% Total : 26.52% | 0-1 @ 12.35% ( 0.54) 1-2 @ 9.04% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 8.91% ( 0.24) 1-3 @ 4.34% ( -0.11) 0-3 @ 4.28% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.21% ( -0.14) 1-4 @ 1.57% ( -0.07) 0-4 @ 1.54% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.65% Total : 46.89% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Liverpool | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 6 | 15 | 28 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 22 | 17 | 5 | 23 |
3 | Chelsea | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 22 |
4 | Arsenal | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 12 | 9 | 22 |
5 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 22 |
6 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 27 | 13 | 14 | 19 |
7 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 19 |
8 | Aston Villa | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 19 |
9 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 18 |
10 | Fulham | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 18 |
11 | Brentford | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 17 |
12 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 15 |
13 | Bournemouth | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 15 |
14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 12 |
15 | Everton | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 11 |
16 | Leicester CityLeicester | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 10 |
17 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 9 |
18 | Crystal Palace | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 8 |
19 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 8 |
20 | Southampton | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 21 | -14 | 4 |
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