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Premier League | Gameweek 5
Sep 18, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
The City Ground
Burnley logo

Nott'm Forest
1 - 1
Burnley

Hudson-Odoi (61')
Mangala (32'), Montiel (34')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Amdouni (41')
Trafford (11'), Roberts (90+5'), Cullen (90+9')
Foster (90+4')

The Match

Match Report

Burnley are denied a late winner by VAR as Callum Hudson-Odoi's stunning second-half strike helps Nottingham Forest rescue a 1-1 draw at the City Ground.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Premier League clash between Nottingham Forest and Burnley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Burnley 2-5 Spurs
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 46.89%. A win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 26.58% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.04%) and 0-2 (8.91%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest win was 1-0 (8.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.

Result
Nottingham ForestDrawBurnley
26.58% (-0.557 -0.56) 26.52% (0.336 0.34) 46.89% (0.224 0.22)
Both teams to score 48.68% (-1.393 -1.39)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.5% (-1.6 -1.6)55.5% (1.603 1.6)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.32% (-1.328 -1.33)76.68% (1.331 1.33)
Nottingham Forest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.76% (-1.326 -1.33)36.24% (1.328 1.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.98% (-1.369 -1.37)73.02% (1.372 1.37)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.34% (-0.584 -0.58)23.66% (0.587 0.59)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.24% (-0.85100000000001 -0.85)57.76% (0.854 0.85)
Score Analysis
    Nottingham Forest 26.58%
    Burnley 46.89%
    Draw 26.52%
Nottingham ForestDrawBurnley
1-0 @ 8.7% (0.226 0.23)
2-1 @ 6.37% (-0.174 -0.17)
2-0 @ 4.42% (-0.043 -0.04)
3-1 @ 2.15% (-0.141 -0.14)
3-2 @ 1.55% (-0.13 -0.13)
3-0 @ 1.5% (-0.07 -0.07)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 26.58%
1-1 @ 12.54% (0.11 0.11)
0-0 @ 8.57% (0.519 0.52)
2-2 @ 4.59% (-0.208 -0.21)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 26.52%
0-1 @ 12.35% (0.54 0.54)
1-2 @ 9.04% (-0.074 -0.07)
0-2 @ 8.91% (0.244 0.24)
1-3 @ 4.34% (-0.112 -0.11)
0-3 @ 4.28% (0.045 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.21% (-0.14 -0.14)
1-4 @ 1.57% (-0.069 -0.07)
0-4 @ 1.54% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 46.89%

How you voted: Nott'm Forest vs Burnley

Nottingham Forest
77.0%
Draw
13.6%
Burnley
9.3%
257
Head to Head
Aug 30, 2023 7.45pm
Second Round
Nott'm Forest
0-1
Burnley

Kouyate (45+3'), Johnson (85'), Aurier (86')
Amdouni (90')
Ekdal (52'), Brownhill (66'), Muric (90+6'), Berge (90+7')
Jul 29, 2017 3pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Nott'm Forest
1-1
Burnley
Murphy (33')
Gray (57')
Feb 23, 2016 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool119112161528
2Manchester CityMan City127232217523
3Chelsea126422314922
4Arsenal126422112922
5Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton126422116522
6Tottenham HotspurSpurs1261527131419
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest125431513219
8Aston Villa125431919019
9Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
10Fulham125341717018
11Brentford125252222017
12Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
13Bournemouth124351617-115
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Everton122551017-711
16Leicester CityLeicester122461523-810
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves122372028-89
18Crystal Palace121561017-78
19Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
20Southampton11119721-144


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