Premier League | Gameweek 16
Nov 12, 2022 at 5.30pm UK
St James' Park
Newcastle1 - 0Chelsea
The Match
Match Report
Newcastle United move back up to third and underline their top-four credentials with a 1-0 victory over an out-of-form Chelsea side at St James' Park.
Team News
Teenager Lewis Hall and forward Armando Broja both start for Chelsea against Newcastle United in Saturday's Premier League fixture.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Newcastle United and Chelsea, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole looks at how Chelsea could line up in Saturday's Premier League clash with Newcastle United.
Injuries & Suspensions
Sports Mole rounds up Chelsea's injury and suspension news ahead of Saturday's Premier League clash with Newcastle United.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Newcastle 0-0 Crystal Palace (3-2 pen.)
Wednesday, November 9 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Wednesday, November 9 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Man City 2-0 Chelsea
Wednesday, November 9 at 8pm in EFL Cup
Wednesday, November 9 at 8pm in EFL Cup
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 39.16%. A win for Newcastle United had a probability of 35.4% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.56%) and 0-2 (6.38%). The likeliest Newcastle United win was 1-0 (8.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Newcastle United | Draw | Chelsea |
35.4% ( 6.51) | 25.44% ( 0.19) | 39.16% ( -6.7) |
| Both teams to score 56.08% ( 1.88) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.23% ( 1.32) | 47.77% ( -1.32) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.04% ( 1.21) | 69.96% ( -1.21) |
| Newcastle United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.86% ( 4.89) | 26.14% ( -4.89) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38.78% ( 6.13) | 61.21% ( -6.13) |
| Chelsea Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.93% ( -2.66) | 24.07% ( 2.65) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 41.64% ( -3.93) | 58.35% ( 3.93) |
| Score Analysis |
Newcastle United 35.4%
Chelsea 39.16%
Draw 25.43%
| Newcastle United | Draw | Chelsea |
| 1-0 @ 8.44% ( 0.67) 2-1 @ 8.07% ( 1.05)2-0 @ 5.66% ( 1.11)3-1 @ 3.61% ( 0.87)3-2 @ 2.57% ( 0.46)3-0 @ 2.53% ( 0.76)4-1 @ 1.21% ( 0.41)Other @ 3.31% Total : 35.4% | 1-1 @ 12.02% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 6.29% ( -0.35)2-2 @ 5.74% ( 0.34)3-3 @ 1.22% ( 0.14)Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.43% | 0-1 @ 8.96% ( -1.28) 1-2 @ 8.56% ( -0.67)0-2 @ 6.38% ( -1.51)1-3 @ 4.06% ( -0.68)0-3 @ 3.03% ( -1.02)2-3 @ 2.73% ( -0.05)1-4 @ 1.45% ( -0.38)0-4 @ 1.08% ( -0.48)2-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.1)Other @ 1.94% Total : 39.16% |
How you voted: Newcastle vs Chelsea
Newcastle United
50.5%Draw
19.9%Chelsea
29.7%418
Form Guide
Build-up
How Chelsea could line up against Newcastle United
Sports Mole looks at how Chelsea could line up in Saturday's Premier League clash with Newcastle United.
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Chelsea team news: Injury, suspension list vs. Newcastle United
Sports Mole rounds up Chelsea's injury and suspension news ahead of Saturday's Premier League clash with Newcastle United.
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