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Premier League | Gameweek 33
Apr 27, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Goodison Park
Newcastle logo

Everton
1 - 4
Newcastle

McNeil (80')
Onana (40'), Maupay (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Wilson (28', 75'), Joelinton (72'), Murphy (81')
Targett (53')

The Match

Match Report

Everton's hopes of retaining their Premier League status suffer a devastating blow as Newcastle United run riot in a 4-1 win at Goodison Park.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Premier League clash between Everton and Newcastle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Crystal Palace 0-0 Everton
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Newcastle 6-1 Spurs
Sunday, April 23 at 2pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 53.07%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Everton had a probability of 22.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.69%) and 0-2 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.48%), while for a Everton win it was 1-0 (6.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Newcastle United would win this match.

Result
EvertonDrawNewcastle United
22.77% (-0.073 -0.07) 24.16% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08) 53.07% (0.15300000000001 0.15)
Both teams to score 51.99% (0.149 0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.7% (0.244 0.24)49.3% (-0.23999999999999 -0.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.65% (0.218 0.22)71.35% (-0.21499999999999 -0.21)
Everton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.81% (0.066000000000003 0.07)36.19% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.02% (0.065999999999999 0.07)72.98% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)
Newcastle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.48% (0.15400000000001 0.15)18.52% (-0.149 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.25% (0.255 0.25)49.75% (-0.252 -0.25)
Score Analysis
    Everton 22.77%
    Newcastle United 53.06%
    Draw 24.15%
EvertonDrawNewcastle United
1-0 @ 6.81% (-0.056 -0.06)
2-1 @ 5.84% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-0 @ 3.46% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-1 @ 1.98%
3-2 @ 1.67% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.17% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 22.77%
1-1 @ 11.48% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 6.7% (-0.066 -0.07)
2-2 @ 4.92% (0.016 0.02)
3-3 @ 0.94% (0.009 0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.15%
0-1 @ 11.3% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
1-2 @ 9.69% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
0-2 @ 9.53% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-3 @ 5.45% (0.035 0.04)
0-3 @ 5.36% (0.025 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.77% (0.022 0.02)
1-4 @ 2.3% (0.025 0.02)
0-4 @ 2.26% (0.021 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.17% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 3.26%
Total : 53.06%

How you voted: Everton vs Newcastle

Everton
18.3%
Draw
11.2%
Newcastle United
70.5%
224
Head to Head
Oct 19, 2022 7.30pm
Mar 17, 2022 7.45pm
gameweek 20
Everton
1-0
Newcastle
Iwobi (90+9')
Richarlison (64'), Gordon (76')
Allan (83')

Krafth (76')
Feb 8, 2022 7.45pm
gameweek 24
Newcastle
3-1
Everton
Holgate (37' og.), Fraser (56'), Trippier (80')
Shelvey (33'), Schar (50')
Lascelles (36' og.)
Holgate (14'), Gomes (47'), Allan (79')
Jan 30, 2021 12.30pm
gameweek 21
Everton
0-2
Newcastle

Sigurdsson (33'), Keane (61'), Rodriguez (79')
Wilson (73', 90+3')
Lascelles (4'), Shelvey (21'), Darlow (84'), Hendrick (88')
Nov 1, 2020 2pm
gameweek 7
Newcastle
2-1
Everton
Wilson (56' pen., 84')
Wilson (55'), Murphy (90+5')
Calvert-Lewin (90+1')
Nkounkou (32'), Mina (69'), Allan (72'), Doucoure (88')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool119112161528
2Manchester CityMan City117222213923
3Chelsea115422113819
4Arsenal115421812619
5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest115421510519
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton115421915419
7Fulham115331613318
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
9Aston Villa115331717018
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1151523131016
11Brentford115152222016
12Bournemouth114341515015
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Leicester CityLeicester112451421-710
16Everton112451017-710
17Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
18Crystal Palace11146815-77
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves111371627-116
20Southampton11119721-144


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