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Premier League | Gameweek 27
Mar 11, 2023 at 3pm UK
Goodison Park
Brentford logo

Everton
1 - 0
Brentford

McNeil (1')
Coleman (61'), Doucoure (70')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Norgaard (45+1')

The Match

Match Report

Dwight McNeil's winner after just 35 seconds lifts Everton out of the relegation zone as the Toffees end Brentford's unbeaten run with a 1-0 win at Goodison Park.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Everton and Brentford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nott'm Forest 2-2 Everton
Sunday, March 5 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brentford 3-2 Fulham
Monday, March 6 at 8pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Everton win with a probability of 43.43%. A win for Brentford had a probability of 30.17% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Everton win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.87%) and 2-0 (7.83%). The likeliest Brentford win was 0-1 (8.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Everton in this match.

Result
EvertonDrawBrentford
43.43% (0.024999999999999 0.02) 26.39% (0.004999999999999 0) 30.17% (-0.035 -0.04)
Both teams to score 51.3% (-0.034000000000006 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.81% (-0.035999999999994 -0.04)53.19% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.24% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)74.75% (0.025000000000006 0.03)
Everton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.68% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)24.32%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.3% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)58.7% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Brentford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.78% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)32.21% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.29% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)68.71% (0.043000000000006 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Everton 43.42%
    Brentford 30.17%
    Draw 26.39%
EvertonDrawBrentford
1-0 @ 11.07% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.87% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-0 @ 7.83% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.18%
3-0 @ 3.69% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 2.37% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-1 @ 1.48%
4-0 @ 1.31% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 43.42%
1-1 @ 12.54%
0-0 @ 7.83% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.02% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 26.39%
0-1 @ 8.87% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-2 @ 7.11% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.03% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 2.68% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.9% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 1.9% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 30.17%

How you voted: Everton vs Brentford

Everton
32.9%
Draw
19.4%
Brentford
47.7%
222
Head to Head
Aug 27, 2022 3pm
Brentford
1-1
Everton
Janelt (84')
Wissa (54'), Hickey (90+5')
Gordon (24')
Pickford (81'), Gordon (90+3')
May 15, 2022 4.30pm
Everton
2-3
Brentford
Calvert-Lewin (10'), Richarlison (45+2' pen.)
Branthwaite (18'), Rondon (88')
Coleman (37' og.), Wissa (62'), Henry (64')
Bech Sorensen (10'), Jensen (27'), Ajer (40')
Feb 5, 2022 3pm
Fourth Round
Everton
4-1
Brentford
Mina (31'), Richarlison (48'), Holgate (62'), Townsend (90+1')
Gomes (24'), Gordon (67')
Toney (54' pen.)
Roerslev (42')
Nov 28, 2021 2pm
Brentford
1-0
Everton
Toney (24' pen.)
Onyeka (43'), Canos (51'), Jansson (66'), Mbeumo (90+2')

Townsend (38'), Rondon (66'), Godfrey (80')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool108111961325
2Manchester CityMan City1072121111023
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest10541147719
4Chelsea105322012818
5Arsenal105321711618
6Aston Villa105321715218
7Tottenham HotspurSpurs1051422111116
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton104421714316
9Bournemouth104331312115
10Newcastle UnitedNewcastle104331010015
11Brentford94141818013
12Fulham93331212012
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd10334912-312
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham103251319-611
15Leicester CityLeicester102441418-410
16Everton102351017-79
17Crystal Palace10145813-57
18Ipswich TownIpswich100551021-115
19Southampton10118719-124
20Wolverhampton WanderersWolves100371427-133


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