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Premier League | Gameweek 27
Mar 11, 2023 at 3pm UK
Goodison Park
Brentford logo

Everton
1 - 0
Brentford

McNeil (1')
Coleman (61'), Doucoure (70')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Norgaard (45+1')

The Match

Match Report

Dwight McNeil's winner after just 35 seconds lifts Everton out of the relegation zone as the Toffees end Brentford's unbeaten run with a 1-0 win at Goodison Park.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Everton and Brentford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nott'm Forest 2-2 Everton
Sunday, March 5 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brentford 3-2 Fulham
Monday, March 6 at 8pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Everton win with a probability of 43.43%. A win for Brentford had a probability of 30.17% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Everton win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.87%) and 2-0 (7.83%). The likeliest Brentford win was 0-1 (8.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Everton in this match.

Result
EvertonDrawBrentford
43.43% (0.024999999999999 0.02) 26.39% (0.004999999999999 0) 30.17% (-0.035 -0.04)
Both teams to score 51.3% (-0.034000000000006 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.81% (-0.035999999999994 -0.04)53.19% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.24% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)74.75% (0.025000000000006 0.03)
Everton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.68% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)24.32%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.3% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)58.7% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Brentford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.78% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)32.21% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.29% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)68.71% (0.043000000000006 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Everton 43.42%
    Brentford 30.17%
    Draw 26.39%
EvertonDrawBrentford
1-0 @ 11.07% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.87% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-0 @ 7.83% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.18%
3-0 @ 3.69% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 2.37% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-1 @ 1.48%
4-0 @ 1.31% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 43.42%
1-1 @ 12.54%
0-0 @ 7.83% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.02% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 26.39%
0-1 @ 8.87% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-2 @ 7.11% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.03% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 2.68% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.9% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 1.9% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 30.17%

How you voted: Everton vs Brentford

Everton
32.9%
Draw
19.4%
Brentford
47.7%
222
Head to Head
Aug 27, 2022 3pm
Brentford
1-1
Everton
Janelt (84')
Wissa (54'), Hickey (90+5')
Gordon (24')
Pickford (81'), Gordon (90+3')
May 15, 2022 4.30pm
Everton
2-3
Brentford
Calvert-Lewin (10'), Richarlison (45+2' pen.)
Branthwaite (18'), Rondon (88')
Coleman (37' og.), Wissa (62'), Henry (64')
Bech Sorensen (10'), Jensen (27'), Ajer (40')
Feb 5, 2022 3pm
Fourth Round
Everton
4-1
Brentford
Mina (31'), Richarlison (48'), Holgate (62'), Townsend (90+1')
Gomes (24'), Gordon (67')
Toney (54' pen.)
Roerslev (42')
Nov 28, 2021 2pm
Brentford
1-0
Everton
Toney (24' pen.)
Onyeka (43'), Canos (51'), Jansson (66'), Mbeumo (90+2')

Townsend (38'), Rondon (66'), Godfrey (80')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool65011221015
2Manchester CityMan City6420146814
3Arsenal6420125714
4Chelsea6411157813
5Aston Villa6411129313
6Fulham632185311
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle632187111
8Tottenham HotspurSpurs6312125710
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton623110829
10Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest62316519
11Brentford6213810-27
12Manchester UnitedMan Utd621358-37
13Bournemouth512258-35
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham6123610-45
15Ipswich TownIpswich6042510-54
16Everton6114715-84
17Leicester CityLeicester6033812-43
18Crystal Palace603359-43
19Southampton501429-71
20Wolverhampton WanderersWolves6015616-101


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