Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
11 | Manchester United | 4 | -3 | 6 |
12 | Liverpool | 4 | 8 | 5 |
13 | Crystal Palace | 5 | -2 | 5 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
9 | Brentford | 5 | 3 | 6 |
10 | Newcastle United | 4 | 2 | 6 |
11 | Manchester United | 4 | -3 | 6 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 77.1%. A draw had a probability of 13.9% and a win for Newcastle United had a probability of 9.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.32%) and 2-1 (8.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.29%), while for a Newcastle United win it was 1-2 (2.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Liverpool in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Liverpool.
Result | ||
Liverpool | Draw | Newcastle United |
77.1% ( -0.52) | 13.88% ( 0.32) | 9.03% ( 0.21) |
Both teams to score 54.46% ( -0.43) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
70.57% ( -0.93) | 29.44% ( 0.94) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
49.49% ( -1.14) | 50.51% ( 1.15) |
Liverpool Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
93.79% ( -0.29) | 6.21% ( 0.29) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
76.53% ( -0.81) | 23.47% ( 0.82) |
Newcastle United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.06% ( -0.28) | 41.94% ( 0.28) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.62% ( -0.24) | 78.38% ( 0.25) |
Score Analysis |
Liverpool | Draw | Newcastle United |
2-0 @ 10.05% ( 0.2) 3-0 @ 9.32% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 8.74% ( 0.11) 3-1 @ 8.1% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 7.24% ( 0.27) 4-0 @ 6.47% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 5.62% ( -0.12) 5-0 @ 3.6% ( -0.11) 3-2 @ 3.52% ( -0.04) 5-1 @ 3.13% ( -0.12) 4-2 @ 2.44% ( -0.07) 6-0 @ 1.67% ( -0.08) 6-1 @ 1.45% ( -0.08) 5-2 @ 1.36% ( -0.06) Other @ 4.4% Total : 77.09% | 1-1 @ 6.29% ( 0.19) 2-2 @ 3.8% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 2.61% ( 0.14) 3-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.17% Total : 13.88% | 1-2 @ 2.73% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 2.26% ( 0.1) 2-3 @ 1.1% ( -0) 0-2 @ 0.98% ( 0.04) Other @ 1.95% Total : 9.03% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Liverpool | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 6 | 15 | 28 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 22 | 13 | 9 | 23 |
3 | Chelsea | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 19 |
4 | Arsenal | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 19 |
5 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 19 |
6 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 19 |
7 | Fulham | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 18 |
8 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 18 |
9 | Aston Villa | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 18 |
10 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 16 |
11 | Brentford | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 16 |
12 | Bournemouth | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 15 |
13 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 15 |
14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 12 |
15 | Leicester CityLeicester | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 10 |
16 | Everton | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 10 |
17 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 8 |
18 | Crystal Palace | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 15 | -7 | 7 |
19 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 6 |
20 | Southampton | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 21 | -14 | 4 |
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