Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 49.98%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 26% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.6%) and 2-0 (8.31%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 0-1 (6.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Leeds United | Draw | Aston Villa |
49.98% | 24.02% | 26% |
Both teams to score 55.93% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.25% | 45.75% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.93% | 68.07% |
Leeds United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.64% | 18.36% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.52% | 49.48% |
Aston Villa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.51% | 31.49% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.13% | 67.87% |
Score Analysis |
Leeds United | Draw | Aston Villa |
1-0 @ 9.8% 2-1 @ 9.6% 2-0 @ 8.31% 3-1 @ 5.42% 3-0 @ 4.69% 3-2 @ 3.13% 4-1 @ 2.3% 4-0 @ 1.99% 4-2 @ 1.33% Other @ 3.42% Total : 49.98% | 1-1 @ 11.32% 0-0 @ 5.78% 2-2 @ 5.55% 3-3 @ 1.21% Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.02% | 0-1 @ 6.68% 1-2 @ 6.54% 0-2 @ 3.86% 1-3 @ 2.52% 2-3 @ 2.14% 0-3 @ 1.49% Other @ 2.77% Total : 26% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |