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Premier League | Gameweek 33
May 11, 2022 at 7.30pm UK
Elland Road
Chelsea logo

Leeds
0 - 3
Chelsea


Phillips (43')
James (24')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Mount (4'), Pulisic (55'), Lukaku (83')

The Match

Team News

Defender Trevoh Chalobah is one of four changes made by Chelsea head coach Thomas Tuchel for Wednesday's Premier League game at Leeds United.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Premier League clash between Leeds United and Chelsea, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Chelsea could line up for Wednesday's Premier League clash with Leeds United.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up all of Chelsea's latest injury and suspension news ahead of Wednesday's Premier League clash with Leeds United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Brentford 1-2 Leeds
Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Premier League
Last Game: Chelsea 2-1 Watford
Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Premier League

We said: Leeds United 1-3 Chelsea

Leeds' defensive crisis has gone from bad to worse, and had Arsenal been able to find a ruthless streak at the Emirates, the Whites could have been making the journey home having shipped four or five. Chelsea's recent sticky patch will have Marsch's side believing that a surprise result could be on the cards, but Tuchel will be demanding a strong performance before the trip to Wembley and should see his side respond in kind to deepen the hosts' relegation fears. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 75.75%. A draw had a probability of 14.9% and a win for Leeds United had a probability of 9.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (9.67%) and 1-2 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.95%), while for a Leeds United win it was 2-1 (2.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chelsea would win this match.

Result
Leeds UnitedDrawChelsea
9.35% (0.216 0.22) 14.9% (0.222 0.22) 75.75% (-0.43600000000001 -0.44)
Both teams to score 51.48% (0.050999999999995 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.3% (-0.39099999999999 -0.39)33.7% (0.39400000000001 0.39)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.47% (-0.447 -0.45)55.53% (0.448 0.45)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.6% (0.163 0.16)44.4% (-0.161 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.55% (0.133 0.13)80.45% (-0.131 -0.13)
Chelsea Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.59% (-0.176 -0.18)7.41% (0.1779 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
73.31% (-0.462 -0.46)26.69% (0.464 0.46)
Score Analysis
    Leeds United 9.35%
    Chelsea 75.75%
    Draw 14.9%
Leeds UnitedDrawChelsea
2-1 @ 2.82% (0.057 0.06)
1-0 @ 2.67% (0.066 0.07)
2-0 @ 1.08% (0.032 0.03)
3-2 @ 0.99% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 9.35%
1-1 @ 6.95% (0.109 0.11)
2-2 @ 3.67% (0.041 0.04)
0-0 @ 3.29% (0.067 0.07)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 14.9%
0-2 @ 11.14% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
0-3 @ 9.67% (-0.07 -0.07)
1-2 @ 9.05% (0.059000000000001 0.06)
0-1 @ 8.56% (0.096 0.1)
1-3 @ 7.85% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
0-4 @ 6.29% (-0.105 -0.11)
1-4 @ 5.11% (-0.062 -0.06)
0-5 @ 3.28% (-0.085 -0.09)
2-3 @ 3.19% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
1-5 @ 2.66% (-0.058 -0.06)
2-4 @ 2.07% (-0.015 -0.02)
0-6 @ 1.42% (-0.051 -0.05)
1-6 @ 1.15% (-0.036 -0.04)
2-5 @ 1.08% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 75.75%

How you voted: Leeds vs Chelsea

Leeds United
23.4%
Draw
10.8%
Chelsea
65.7%
286
Head to Head
Dec 11, 2021 3pm
Chelsea
3-2
Leeds
Mount (42'), Jorginho (58' pen., 90+4' pen.)
James (34'), Mount (60')
Raphinha (28' pen.), Gelhardt (83')
Firpo (42'), Shackleton (53'), Klich (69'), Meslier (90+3'), Llorente (90+6')
Mar 13, 2021 12.30pm
Dec 5, 2020 8pm
Chelsea
3-1
Leeds
Giroud (27'), Zouma (61'), Pulisic (90+3')
Bamford (4')
Llorente (74'), Raphinha (90+5')
May 15, 2004 3pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool15113131131836
2Chelsea16104237191834
3Arsenal1796234161833
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest179442319431
5Aston Villa178452626028
6Manchester CityMan City178362925427
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle177552721626
8Bournemouth167452421325
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton176742726125
10Fulham166642422224
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1672736191723
12Brentford177283232023
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd166462119222
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham175572230-820
15Crystal Palace173771826-816
16Everton153661421-715
17Leicester CityLeicester163582134-1314
18Ipswich TownIpswich172691632-1612
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1623112440-169
20Southampton1612131136-255


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