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Premier League | Gameweek 32
Apr 9, 2022 at 3pm UK
Vicarage Road
Leeds logo

Watford
0 - 3
Leeds


Louza (57'), Sissoko (80')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Raphinha (21'), Rodrigo (73'), Harrison (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Watford and Leeds United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Chelsea 2-1 Watford
Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brentford 1-2 Leeds
Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Premier League

We said: Watford 1-1 Leeds United

Both sides are in desperate need of the three points at a vital stage of the season, but we are finding it difficult to separate them here. There has not actually been a draw between these two sides since December 2013, but we are predicting a stalemate at Vicarage Road on Saturday afternoon. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 38.87%. A win for Watford had a probability of 35.41% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.5%) and 0-2 (6.44%). The likeliest Watford win was 1-0 (8.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.

Result
WatfordDrawLeeds United
35.41%25.71%38.87%
Both teams to score 55.12%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51%49%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.92%71.08%
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.28%26.72%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.02%61.98%
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.22%24.78%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.64%59.35%
Score Analysis
    Watford 35.41%
    Leeds United 38.87%
    Draw 25.71%
WatfordDrawLeeds United
1-0 @ 8.74%
2-1 @ 8.05%
2-0 @ 5.77%
3-1 @ 3.54%
3-0 @ 2.54%
3-2 @ 2.47%
4-1 @ 1.17%
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 35.41%
1-1 @ 12.19%
0-0 @ 6.62%
2-2 @ 5.61%
3-3 @ 1.15%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.71%
0-1 @ 9.24%
1-2 @ 8.5%
0-2 @ 6.44%
1-3 @ 3.95%
0-3 @ 3%
2-3 @ 2.61%
1-4 @ 1.38%
0-4 @ 1.05%
2-4 @ 0.91%
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 38.87%

How you voted: Watford vs Leeds

Watford
29.9%
Draw
26.9%
Leeds United
43.3%
201
Head to Head
Oct 2, 2021 3pm
Leeds
1-0
Watford
Llorente (18')

Femenia (59'), Sarr (65'), Dennis (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool65011221015
2Manchester CityMan City6420146814
3Arsenal6420125714
4Chelsea6411157813
5Aston Villa5401107312
6Fulham632185311
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle632187111
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton623110829
9Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest62316519
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs52129547
11Manchester UnitedMan Utd52125507
12Brentford6213810-27
13Bournemouth512258-35
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham6123610-45
15Everton6114715-84
16Leicester CityLeicester6033812-43
17Crystal Palace603359-43
18Ipswich TownIpswich503238-53
19Southampton501429-71
20Wolverhampton WanderersWolves6015616-101


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