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Premier League | Gameweek 32
Apr 9, 2022 at 3pm UK
Vicarage Road
Leeds logo

Watford
0 - 3
Leeds


Louza (57'), Sissoko (80')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Raphinha (21'), Rodrigo (73'), Harrison (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Watford and Leeds United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Chelsea 2-1 Watford
Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brentford 1-2 Leeds
Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Premier League

We said: Watford 1-1 Leeds United

Both sides are in desperate need of the three points at a vital stage of the season, but we are finding it difficult to separate them here. There has not actually been a draw between these two sides since December 2013, but we are predicting a stalemate at Vicarage Road on Saturday afternoon. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 38.87%. A win for Watford had a probability of 35.41% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.5%) and 0-2 (6.44%). The likeliest Watford win was 1-0 (8.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.

Result
WatfordDrawLeeds United
35.41%25.71%38.87%
Both teams to score 55.12%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51%49%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.92%71.08%
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.28%26.72%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.02%61.98%
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.22%24.78%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.64%59.35%
Score Analysis
    Watford 35.41%
    Leeds United 38.87%
    Draw 25.71%
WatfordDrawLeeds United
1-0 @ 8.74%
2-1 @ 8.05%
2-0 @ 5.77%
3-1 @ 3.54%
3-0 @ 2.54%
3-2 @ 2.47%
4-1 @ 1.17%
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 35.41%
1-1 @ 12.19%
0-0 @ 6.62%
2-2 @ 5.61%
3-3 @ 1.15%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.71%
0-1 @ 9.24%
1-2 @ 8.5%
0-2 @ 6.44%
1-3 @ 3.95%
0-3 @ 3%
2-3 @ 2.61%
1-4 @ 1.38%
0-4 @ 1.05%
2-4 @ 0.91%
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 38.87%

How you voted: Watford vs Leeds

Watford
29.9%
Draw
26.9%
Leeds United
43.3%
201
Head to Head
Oct 2, 2021 3pm
Leeds
1-0
Watford
Llorente (18')

Femenia (59'), Sarr (65'), Dennis (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool119112161528
2Manchester CityMan City117222213923
3Chelsea115422113819
4Arsenal115421812619
5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest115421510519
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton115421915419
7Fulham115331613318
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
9Aston Villa115331717018
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1151523131016
11Brentford115152222016
12Bournemouth114341515015
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Leicester CityLeicester112451421-710
16Everton112451017-710
17Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
18Crystal Palace11146815-77
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves111371627-116
20Southampton11119721-144


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