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Premier League | Gameweek 32
Apr 9, 2022 at 3pm UK
Vicarage Road
Leeds logo

Watford
0 - 3
Leeds


Louza (57'), Sissoko (80')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Raphinha (21'), Rodrigo (73'), Harrison (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Watford and Leeds United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Chelsea 2-1 Watford
Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brentford 1-2 Leeds
Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Premier League

We said: Watford 1-1 Leeds United

Both sides are in desperate need of the three points at a vital stage of the season, but we are finding it difficult to separate them here. There has not actually been a draw between these two sides since December 2013, but we are predicting a stalemate at Vicarage Road on Saturday afternoon. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 38.87%. A win for Watford had a probability of 35.41% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.5%) and 0-2 (6.44%). The likeliest Watford win was 1-0 (8.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.

Result
WatfordDrawLeeds United
35.41%25.71%38.87%
Both teams to score 55.12%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51%49%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.92%71.08%
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.28%26.72%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.02%61.98%
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.22%24.78%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.64%59.35%
Score Analysis
    Watford 35.41%
    Leeds United 38.87%
    Draw 25.71%
WatfordDrawLeeds United
1-0 @ 8.74%
2-1 @ 8.05%
2-0 @ 5.77%
3-1 @ 3.54%
3-0 @ 2.54%
3-2 @ 2.47%
4-1 @ 1.17%
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 35.41%
1-1 @ 12.19%
0-0 @ 6.62%
2-2 @ 5.61%
3-3 @ 1.15%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.71%
0-1 @ 9.24%
1-2 @ 8.5%
0-2 @ 6.44%
1-3 @ 3.95%
0-3 @ 3%
2-3 @ 2.61%
1-4 @ 1.38%
0-4 @ 1.05%
2-4 @ 0.91%
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 38.87%

How you voted: Watford vs Leeds

Watford
29.9%
Draw
26.9%
Leeds United
43.3%
201
Head to Head
Oct 2, 2021 3pm
Leeds
1-0
Watford
Llorente (18')

Femenia (59'), Sarr (65'), Dennis (90')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool15113131131836
2Chelsea17105237191835
3Arsenal1796234161833
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest179442319431
5Bournemouth178452721628
6Aston Villa178452626028
7Manchester CityMan City178362925427
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle177552721626
9Fulham176742422225
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton176742726125
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1672736191723
12Brentford177283232023
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd176472122-122
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham175572230-820
15Everton163761421-716
16Crystal Palace173771826-816
17Leicester CityLeicester173592137-1614
18Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1733112740-1312
19Ipswich TownIpswich172691632-1612
20Southampton1713131136-256


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